Normally starts slowly; goes well fresh so would like to have seen more on reappearance at Bath and didn't fare much better there four weeks ago; fourth is the best he's managed on AW; passed over.
Form last 6137-95
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR75RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two wins (one for this jockey) and a second since asked to go beyond an extended 1m; has form at shorter but wide draw could put him on the back foot early; one of three runners for John Butler.
Form last 6-41201
—SR78RPR70OR—Votes
✦Spotlight
Two wins (one for this jockey) and a second since asked to go beyond an extended 1m; has form at shorter but wide draw could put him on the back foot early; one of three runners for John Butler.
Dual winner for Hugo Palmer (6f/7f); third the best he managed for Robert Eddery; failed to see out 1m in two previous attempts so looks best watched on debut for John Butler, who runs two others, back from 292 days off.
Form last 667300-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR76RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Knocking on the door with increasing vigour and went down by just half-a-length in a 0-80 here three weeks ago (7f); no issue with returning to further (has won over 8.6f) and a 2lb rise is justified; claims.
Form last 64U8332
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR79RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Back-to-back seconds over C&D and shaped as if still in form when sixth to Joseph over 2f further at Lingfield last time; not out of this; trainer/owner also represented by Forca Timao.
Form last 65-4226
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR80RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Managed third in a C&D 0-80 last month and duly did the business in 0-75 company, also over track and trip, 23 days ago; this is even easier, although he's up 4lb, and Jack Dace can keep the ride in this apprentice contest; headgear (hood) goes on, presumably in attempt to settle him.
Form last 681-031
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR76RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Very pleasing return from 275-day break at Leicester this month; lacked a change of gear at Newmarket (also 7f) subsequently and returning to 1m looks in his favour; draw hasn't been kind, though.
Form last 6333-23
—SR78RPR68OR—Votes
✦Spotlight
Very pleasing return from 275-day break at Leicester this month; lacked a change of gear at Newmarket (also 7f) subsequently and returning to 1m looks in his favour; draw hasn't been kind, though.
Promise to begin with for former and current yard; might find things happening too quickly running over a trip this short for the first time; back from a break.
Form last 6/6266-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR75RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Put his experience to good use at Chelmsford in January and nearly rallied to win at Lingfield the following month (both 1m); not as potent in three runs since and will turn up here having been gelded; stall 12 tricky given he likes to race prominently.
Form last 6462497
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR76RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
0-12 but runner-up five times and went down by a nose and a neck following a gelding operation here two starts ago (form boosted since); this kind of trip has stretched him in the past, though; jockey Katrine Holm seeks first winner.
Form last 64-8632
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR78RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
C&D winner in 2022 and narrowly failed to land a gamble off 1lb lower under these conditions just before Christmas; not as effective since but is worth a market check, particularly versus John Butler's other two runners.
Form last 6042-60
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR77RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .
Won't be justifying her seven-figure yearling price but has joined the yard who trained her winning sisters (including Saffron Beach, who struck twice at the top level) and she showed enough at Southwell last month to suggest a win or two is achievable; didn't see 1m2f out at Yarmouth last week; due 2lb drop; first-time cheekpieces replace hood.
Form last 6435-35
—SR79RPR63OR—Votes
✦Spotlight
Won't be justifying her seven-figure yearling price but has joined the yard who trained her winning sisters (including Saffron Beach, who struck twice at the top level) and she showed enough at Southwell last month to suggest a win or two is achievable; didn't see 1m2f out at Yarmouth last week; due 2lb drop; first-time cheekpieces replace hood.
Outsider of four when belatedly doubling his tally at Southwell last April (1m3f); hit the frame last two starts (1m2f) but not sure dropping back to 1m will see him play a bigger role this evening; Penfolds Grange looks connections' best hope.
Form last 67-5644
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR77RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Juvenile winner at Ascot for this yard (7f) before gelded and sent to John Size in Hong Kong; disappointingly failed to win there but, given he'd ran to an RPR of 89 in Britain previously, it was no surprise to see him score off BHA mark of 55 on his return here in February (7f); sharper track when kept to 7f then a slow pace when returned to 1m scuppered him since; major claims from handy draw.
Form last 670-135
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR81RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Valentine Boy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Luke DaceJack Dace
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Tex
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · George Baker✓ Value Signal
Shamacid
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · S Woods◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Won't be justifying her seven-figure yearling price but has joined the yard who trained her winning sisters (including Saffron Beach, who struck twice at the top level) and she showed enough at Southwell last month to suggest a win or two is achievable; didn't see 1m2f out at Yarmouth last week; due 2lb drop; first-time cheekpieces replace hood.
Very pleasing return from 275-day break at Leicester this month; lacked a change of gear at Newmarket (also 7f) subsequently and returning to 1m looks in his favour; draw hasn't been kind, though.
Two wins (one for this jockey) and a second since asked to go beyond an extended 1m; has form at shorter but wide draw could put him on the back foot early; one of three runners for John Butler.
Valentine Boy leads the field with SR 65 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-11 is manageable for a horse of this class.
ShortlistValentine Boy, Kit Gabriel, U S S Constitution, Shamacid, Rhythm N Rock