The Honest Record
Verified performance. Real results.
Placed Hit Rate
8590 runners placed from
11407 published selections.
Transparent by design. No hype. Just the numbers.
Est.
The Products
Every honest record on the site
Track record first — the sortable heatmap of every system. Then the daily picks, the specialist columns, and the long-form letters. One flat grid, ordered by editorial priority.
Track Record
Every system, every result. The sortable heatmap.
- 54161 tips
- 9287 wins
- 13731 placed
- 48% hit-rate
Top Rated Today
Six lanes of ratings, consensus and market moves.
- 2372 picks
- 619 wins
- 1348 placed
- 56.8% hit-rate
Bet of the Day
One conviction bet a day, tracked to points P/L.
- 140 bets
- 39 winners
- -3.74 points P/L
- 27.9% strike
Value Pick
The longest price on the Bet of the Day shortlist. A second opinion, tracked to points P/L.
- 24 bets
- 4 winners
- +6.83 points P/L
- 16.7% strike
Sly Man’s ACCA
Six-leg dream ticket, graded as a Lucky 63 — every winning permutation counted.
- 56 tickets
- 42 returning
- -£87.40 Lucky 63 P/L
- 75.0% return rate
Lay of the Day
One lay a day, tracked to P/L per £1 backer stake.
- 481 lays
- 248 landed
- £-0.10 P/L per £1
- 51.6% strike
Horses to Watch
Five daily story-score picks scored on placed hit-rate.
- 745 picks
- 152 wins
- 384 placed
- 51.5% hit-rate
Market Steamers
Majority-bookmaker moves called live from the market.
- 608 called
- 66 wins
- 201 placed
- 33.1% hit-rate
LLaMa Letters
Long-form letter for every meeting, graded per race.
- 312 letters
- 82 wins
- 159 placed
- 51.0% hit-rate
LLaMa Papers
Multiverse-simulated race paper — each LLM pick graded to 4 places.
- 23 picks
- 5 wins
- 8 placed
- 34.8% hit-rate
Pick Winner
Every race Mr Fox called, top-4 selections graded to their actual finish.
- 7183 races
- 1329 wins
- 6490 placed
- 90.4% hit-rate
Featured Tips · Mr Fox
The Open File
Every featured tip Mr Fox has ever published — Sel 1 through Sel 4, every result graded straight from the Racing API. Nothing edited, nothing hidden.
- 46 Tips
- 16% Strike rate
- 42% In the frame
- +£20.50 P/L · £1 stake
The Trends
Where the numbers are going
12 weeks of settled tips. Rolling averages, so one hot Saturday can’t skew the picture.
Cumulative profit curve
Level-stakes P/L in units, settled at SP.
Rolling 4-week strike rate
Wins as a percentage of settled non-void tips.
The Comparison
Us versus the market
Same universe of 6388 races. Same rules for every column. Anyone can back the favourite — the honest question is whether we do better.
Win % & Placed % breakdown
| Metric | Saturday Racing | Favourite (SP) | SP Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 19% | 36.7% | — |
| Placed (top 3) | 48% | 69.4% | — |
Favourite = level-stakes SP bet on the shortest-priced runner in every race. SP Market = level-stakes bet on every runner — the market's own realised return over our tipped universe.
The rules
How we measure performance
The same six rules apply to every algorithm, every result, every day.
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Published before the off
Every selection is time-stamped and public before the race starts. Nothing is added retrospectively.
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No edits after publication
Once a pick is out, the horse and price on record don’t change — even if the article is later rewritten.
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Non-runners excluded
Scratched horses and abandoned races are marked void — not counted as losses, not counted as wins.
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Dead heats under industry rules
Split-decision wins settle at half-stake, matching how a bookmaker would pay.
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Results imported automatically
Finish positions flow from the Racing API into the ledger — no editor grades results by hand.
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Historical archive available
Every past selection remains in the ledger. Winners, losers and pending — readers see the full record, not a highlight reel.