Doncaster 15:25 7 Nov 2026
THE RACE ENGINE 7 Nov 2026

This Saturday Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Doncaster — Class 2 · 1m3f197y

Mr Fox tips Lord Melbourne 10/1 Read the verdict
1m3f197yDistance
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Big race today Virgin Bet November Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Doncaster · 15:25

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Voting open
  • 23 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Alfred Wincham Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 4 hours, 31 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Deira Mile silks
Deira Mile
Age 5 · 9-12
/68-67
104
71
112
5
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
125/1 100/1 80/1
Deira Mile has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 112 ranks him second of 23, well clear of his official 104 off 138 lb, though he is winless in his last four with a seventh last time out and a 176-day absence to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

2
Castle Cove silks
Castle Cove
Age 5 · 9-8
16441-
100
103
104
5
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 15/2 9/2
Castle Cove arrives a last-time-out winner, with another success five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before; our rating of 104 ranks him third of 23. The main risk is a 364-day gap since his last run, which makes fitness a question under 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Too Soon silks
Too Soon
Age 4 · 9-8
045116
100
83
101
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 12/1 20/1
Too Soon won two starts back and three starts back before a sixth last time out, so the form is solid, though he returns after 56 days off and carries 134 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 101 ranks him seventh of 23.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sunchart silks
Sunchart
Age 9 · 9-6
8-3776
98
74
115
9
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 25/1 50/1
Yet to win in his last five, Sunchart signed off with a sixth last time out, 20 days ago, but he has run over today's trip and going and bears 132 lb off an official 98. Our 115 rating makes him the one to beat, though recent form is patchy.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Lord Melbourne silks
Lord Melbourne
Age 6 · 9-5
509543
97
90
102
6
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 7/1 8/1
Lord Melbourne was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and a fourth, fifth and ninth sit behind that. Carrying 131 lb off 97 after 28 days off, he looks a solid but unspectacular type.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Atherstone Warrior silks
Atherstone Warrior
Age 4 · 9-5
4113-2
97
87
102
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 8/1 20/1
Atherstone Warrior arrives in cracking recent form, second last time out, third two starts back and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a 223-day layoff, with 131 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ernst Blofeld silks
Ernst Blofeld
Age 4 · 9-4
755232
96
79
99
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 14/1 20/1
Ernst Blofeld arrives in good heart after a second last time out, with a third and another second in the previous three runs, and has run over today's trip. Yet he is winless in his last six and carries 130 lb off 96, so the task looks stiff.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Night Breeze silks
Night Breeze
Age 6 · 9-3
123359
95
70
98
6
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 FCST 22/1
Beaten into ninth last time out and a fifth two starts back, he has slipped since a third three starts back and a win six starts back, and the 56-day break adds a fitness question. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 98 sits above his official 95, but 129 lb is a big weight to carry.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Stressfree silks
Stressfree
Age 6 · 9-3
708645
95
82
102
6
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 16/1 14/1
Stressfree is yet to win in his last six starts but has been creeping closer, a fifth last time out and a fourth two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. A 56-day break and 129 lb are against him, though our rating of 102 sits above his official 95.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Circus of Rome silks
Circus of Rome
Age 4 · 9-2
500023
94
65
94
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 25/1
Third last time out and second the run before, Circus of Rome arrives in decent order after 18 days, and he has run over today's trip. Yet he is winless in his last six and carries 128 lb off 94, which looks a stiff ask in this company.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Arqoob silks
Arqoob
Age 8 · 9-2
631171
94
74
95
8
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 25/1 40/1
Arqoob has won three of his last six, including last time out, though a seventh two starts back breaks the run and he's had 35 days off. He has run over today's trip, but carries 128 lb off 94, and our rating of 95 ranks him only 15th of 23.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Solarize silks
Solarize
Age 4 · 9-2
15-211
94
90
91
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1
Solarize arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and two starts back with three wins in his last five, plus he has run over today's trip, but 128 lb off an official 94 looks a big ask, and our rating of 91 ranks him just 21st of 23.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Alfred Wincham silks
Alfred Wincham
Age 4 · 9-2
1621
94
108
94
4
9-2
★★★★☆
—
9/4 4/1 9/4
Alfred Wincham arrives a winner last time out and second the run before, so the form is hardly poor, but he carries 128 lb off 94 and has run over today's trip before. Our figures rank him 17th of 23, which makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

14
Say What You See silks
Say What You See
Age 4 · 9-1
112334
93
71
93
4
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 25/1
Say What You See has slipped from back-to-back wins six and five starts back to a fourth last time out, and sitting 19th of 23 on our figures makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and 28 days off is no concern, but 127 lb off a mark of 93 looks a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Duraji silks
Duraji
Age 5 · 8-13
630460
91
61
94
5
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 33/1 66/1
Duraji is hard to fancy, unplaced last time out and winless in his last six, with a sixth two starts back and a fourth three starts back showing little upward momentum. A 17-day turnaround keeps him fit, and his 94 ranks only 18th of 23 in this field.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Master Builder silks
Master Builder
Age 5 · 8-13
00-104
91
70
98
5
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 28/1
Fourth last time out and a winner three starts back, Master Builder has run over today's trip and going and arrives after 28 days off, but he was unplaced in all three of the other runs, and carrying 125 lb off a mark of 91 leaves little margin.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Ghaiyya silks
Ghaiyya
Age 4 · 8-12
124862
90
64
90
4
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 16/1 33/1
Ghaiyya was second last time out, but that follows a sixth and an eighth, and a 106-day layoff plus a win six starts back make her hard to fancy. She has run over today's trip and our figures rank her 22nd of 23, so she looks a big ask off 124 lb.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Miss Dolly Rocker silks
Miss Dolly Rocker
Age 6 · 8-12
152-87
90
64
92
6
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 16/1 22/1
Miss Dolly Rocker has finished seventh and eighth in her last two outings, so the form is heading the wrong way, and she is hard to fancy at 124 lb. A second three starts back and a win five starts back show she has ability, and she has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Real Dream silks
Real Dream
Age 7 · 8-12
707049
90
68
98
7
8-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 FCST 40/1
Real Dream is winless in his last six, with a ninth last time out following a fourth two starts back, though he returns after 17 days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 98 sits well above his official 90, but carrying 124 lb and an inconsistent profile hold him back.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

20
Tashkhan silks
Tashkhan
Age 8 · 8-11
0-0904
89
69
100
8
8-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 66/1 33/1
Tashkhan showed a bit of life with a fourth last time out, 19 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but he is winless in his last five and was unplaced in three of the previous four. Our rating of 100 sits well above his official 89, so he is better than his mark suggests on paper, though 123 lb leaves little leeway.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

21
Sir Hannibal silks
Sir Hannibal
Age 4 · 8-10
33-15
88
63
84
4
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
100/1 25/1 66/1
Sir Hannibal won two starts back and has been in the first three in two other recent runs, but he was only fifth last time out, and our rating of 84 ranks him last of 23. He's 24 days since that run and carries 122 lb off an official mark of 88, so he's hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

22
Nobody Knows silks
Nobody Knows
Age 3 · 8-10
1-135
93
105
95
3
8-10
★★★★☆
—
10/3 3/1 10/3
Nobody Knows has won twice in his last four starts, a winner three and four starts back, but he was only fifth last time out after a third two runs ago. He has run on today's going and returns after 28 days, though carrying 122 lb off 93 leaves him with plenty to prove in this field.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

23
Stem silks
Stem
Age 4 · 8-10
041035
88
72
95
4
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 25/1
Stem has a solid recent profile, a third two starts back and a winner four starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, but he was only fifth last time and returns after 49 days off. Our rating of 95 sits above his official 88, though 13th of 23 says midfield.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Deira Mile 125/1 open 101.00 80/1 open 101.00 100/1 100/1 100/1 80/1 open 101.00 125/1 Bet365
2 Castle Cove 9/2 open 10.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 Paddy Power
3 Too Soon 25/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 25/1 Bet365
4 Sunchart 80/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 29.00 80/1 Bet365
5 Lord Melbourne 8/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 Paddy Power
6 Atherstone Warrior 22/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Ernst Blofeld 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 Bet365
8 Night Breeze 28/1 open 26.00 22/1 25/1 25/1 28/1 22/1 open 26.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Stressfree 16/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Circus of Rome 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 Bet365
11 Arqoob 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 26.00 66/1 Bet365
12 Solarize 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
13 Alfred Wincham 9/4 open 6.00 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 6.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 William Hill
14 Say What You See 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
15 Duraji 100/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
16 Master Builder 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
17 Ghaiyya 50/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
18 Miss Dolly Rocker 33/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
19 Real Dream 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 40/1 50/1 Bet365
20 Tashkhan 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 81.00 33/1 open 67.00 40/1 Bet365
21 Sir Hannibal 100/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 26.00 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 41.00 100/1 Bet365
22 Nobody Knows 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 4/1 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 Coral
23 Stem 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Alfred Wincham

Live signal

Alfred Wincham owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (60) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Patrick Neville Oisin Orr
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Nobody Knows

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Richard Hughes
✓ Value Signal

Ernst Blofeld

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Hamad Al Jehani
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 13. Alfred Wincham
60.2 9/4
2 22. Nobody Knows
56.5 10/3
3 2. Castle Cove
55.7 9/2
4 12. Solarize
52.2 12/1
5 5. Lord Melbourne
51.4 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick, the Fox's call and the AI view — all on one line before you enter the field.

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🦊 Mr Fox
Lord Melbourne
Experience over noise

The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.

See full Fox reasoning →
🤖 AI view
Nobody Knows
Three-way split

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

13
Age 4 · 9-2
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 108 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

22
Age 3 · 8-10
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 105 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 8-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 5 · 9-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-5
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 9-3
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Three engines. Independent analysis.

Claude
Nobody Knows

Nobody Knows owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Balanced lens leaned on market confidence (82) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

ChatGPT
Alfred Wincham

Alfred Wincham owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Favourite Focus lens leaned on market confidence (82) and pace fit instead. The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

Gemini
Night Breeze

Night Breeze owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. With no SR/RPR/TS data on the winner, the Value Hunter lens leaned on market confidence (0) and pace fit instead. There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile is live enough to win even with more instability in the simulation.

🦊 Mr Fox's SelectionLord MelbourneFull analysis →

This is where Cubs make their call. This is where the Fox sharpens his edge. This is where the race is decided — before it's run.

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m3f197y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
23 Confirmed runners
Doncaster Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade