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Ireland 3yo

Arlan (USA)

T: Doug Watson · O: Merkhat Bulgynov

By American Freedom (USA) out of Smoothover (USA)

Form 905821-124

2/9 W/R

Resting

9 runs
2 wins
placed
22% strike
211 d off

Recent form

Form figures 905821-124 211 days off

4 2 1 1 2 8

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 9 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 51
Win %: 22%
Placed %: 44%
Trend: Climbing

Course Record

2 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Jebel Ali (UAE) — well clear of the 44% career baseline.

Meydan (UAE) 0% 0-0-5
Jebel Ali (UAE) SPEC 100% 2-2-4

Connections History

2 jockeys · 1 trainer

Jockeys

Pat Dobbs NOW 57% 2-2-7
Sam Hitchcott 0% 0-0-2

Trainers

Doug Watson NOW 44% 2-2-9

Going Record

9 classifiable runs

Mixed No clear going preference — moderate strike on every surface they've tried.

Firm 38% 2-1-8
Good to Firm — 0 runs
Good 100% 0-1-1
Good to Soft — 0 runs
Soft — 0 runs
Heavy — 0 runs

Distance Record

9 classifiable runs

Specialist Pure middle horse — 75% in-the-money at 1m1f – 1m4f.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f 0% 0-0-1
Mile 7f – 1m1f 25% 0-1-4
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 75% 2-1-4
Staying ≥ 1m4f — 0 runs

Race history

9 of 9 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

6 Mar 2026 Emaar Champion Stakes (Handicap) (Dirt) Meydan (UAE) 4th/9 .75 Fast 1m3f Pat Dobbs OR 101 7/2

15 Feb 2026 Jebel Ali Stakes Sponsored By Media World () (Dirt) Jebel Ali (UAE) 2nd/11 0.1 Standard 1m2f Pat Dobbs OR 91 11/4F

17 Jan 2026 Tobougg Corner Stakes (Jebel Ali Stakes Prep) (Handicap) (Dirt) Jebel Ali (UAE) 1st/8 +0 Fast 1m2f Pat Dobbs OR 88 13/2

27 Dec 2025 Race 6 - Commercial Bank Of Dubai Stakes (Handicap) (Dirt) Jebel Ali (UAE) 1st/9 +0 Fast 1m2f Pat Dobbs OR 80 7/4F

29 Nov 2025 The Ghaf Tree Stakes (Handicap) (Dirt) Jebel Ali (UAE) 2nd/13 3.5 Fast 1m Pat Dobbs OR 80 20/1

7 Nov 2025 Emirates SkyCargo Handicap (Dirt) Meydan (UAE) 8th/12 11 Fast 1m1½f Pat Dobbs OR 85 13/2

7 Mar 2025 Azizi Creek Views (Conditions) (Dirt) Meydan (UAE) 5th/13 0.3 Fast 1m1½f Pat Dobbs OR 87 20/1

24 Jan 2025 UAE 2000 Guineas Presented By Longines (Dirt) Meydan (UAE) 14th/15 11 Fast 1m Sam Hitchcott OR 87 33/1

3 Jan 2025 UAE 2000 Guineas Trial Sponsored By Kentucky Derby (Conditions) (Dirt) Meydan (UAE) 9th/12 0.2 Fast 7f Sam Hitchcott OR 87 12/1

Connections

Trainer: Doug Watson 12%
Owner: Merkhat Bulgynov
Sire: American Freedom (USA)
Dam: Smoothover (USA)
Dam sire: Medaglia d'Oro
Country: Ireland
Age: 3yo

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