Ireland 7yo

Coconut Bay (GB)

T: Tristan Davidson · J: Rowan Scott · O: Mrs Hugh Fraser

By Bated Breath (GB) out of Tropicana Bay (GB)

Form 7-830743299

16/1 Current odds

7/79 W/R

60 RPR

60 TS

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Active

79 runs
7 wins
placed
9% strike
10 d off
80 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 7-830743299 10 days off

9 9 2 3 4 7

At Musselburgh 0/9 0 wins · 3 placed

On Good 2/19 2 wins · 8 placed

Best RPR 80 Career peak

Best TS 68 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 28 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 47
Win %: 9%
Placed %: 35%
Trend: Fading

Course Record

12 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Ayr, Lingfield (AW) — well clear of the 35% career baseline.

Wolverhampton (AW) 28% 2-3-18
Catterick 36% 3-2-14
Newcastle (AW) 15% 0-2-13
Musselburgh 33% 0-3-9
Ayr SPEC 71% 1-4-7
Southwell (AW) 43% 0-3-7
Lingfield (AW) SPEC 50% 1-1-4
Thirsk 100% 0-2-2
Carlisle 0% 0-0-2
Hamilton 100% 0-1-1
Ripon 0% 0-0-1
Yarmouth 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

27 jockeys · 2 trainers

Jockeys

Jason Hart 43% 3-6-21
Rowan Scott NOW 46% 2-4-13
Phil Dennis 17% 0-1-6
Rhys Elliott(5) 75% 0-3-4
Andrew Mullen 25% 0-1-4
Miss Amy Milburn 67% 0-2-3
Kaiya Fraser 33% 0-1-3
David Nolan 50% 0-1-2
Franny Norton 50% 1-0-2
Millie Wonnacott 50% 1-0-2
Billy Garritty 0% 0-0-2
P. J. McDonald 0% 0-0-2
Lewis Edmunds 100% 0-1-1
Louis Steward 100% 0-1-1
Amie Waugh 0% 0-0-1
Callum Rodriguez 0% 0-0-1
Cam Hardie 0% 0-0-1
Clifford Lee 0% 0-0-1
David Egan 0% 0-0-1
Josephine Gordon 0% 0-0-1
Lexie Clarkson 0% 0-0-1
Marco Ghiani 0% 0-0-1
Mohammed Tabti 0% 0-0-1
Nicola Currie 0% 0-0-1
Oisin McSweeney 0% 0-0-1
Rhys Clutterbuck 0% 0-0-1
Zak Wheatley 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Tristan Davidson NOW 37% 6-20-71
Hughie Morrison 25% 1-1-8

Going Record

79 classifiable runs

Firmspecialist Fires on firmer ground — 73% in-the-money on a fast surface vs 0% on softer ground.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 73% 2-6-11
Good 34% 5-15-59
Good to Soft 0% 0-0-3
Soft 0% 0-0-4
Heavy 0% 0-0-2

Distance Record

79 classifiable runs

Allrounder Versatile — handles a range of trips with similar effectiveness.

Sprint ≤ 6f 25% 0-1-4
Seven 6½ – 7f 43% 6-14-47
Mile 7f – 1m1f 31% 0-4-13
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 20% 1-2-15
Staying ≥ 1m4f — 0 runs

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

12 Sep 2026 Peterhead Fish Market Handicap Stakes Musselburgh Class 5 9th/10 1.5 Good 7f Rowan Scott OR 53 33/1

25 Aug 2026 AAB Group And Bibby Financial Services Handicap Stakes Musselburgh Class 6 9th/10 7 Good 7f Jason Hart OR 53 5/1

16 Jul 2026 Meijer Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes Thirsk Class 6 2nd/9 1.75 Good To Firm 7f Jason Hart OR 53 11/4

8 Jul 2026 Pinker's Pond Apprentice Handicap Catterick Class 6 3rd/9 0.2 Good To Firm 7f6y Rhys Elliott OR 54 7/2

30 Jun 2026 Max Recycle Handicap Musselburgh Class 6 4th/9 2.5 Good 7f15y Jason Hart OR 54 18/5

8 Jun 2026 Racing TV Apprentice Handicap Carlisle Class 5 7th/8 4.25 Soft 5f182y Amie Waugh OR 56 28/1

11 May 2026 Racing Welfare Reminiscence Day Apprentice Handicap Catterick Class 6 11th/13 .5 Good 7f6y Lexie Clarkson OR 57 15/2

5 May 2026 Sunday Lunch At Western House Hotel Handicap Ayr Class 6 3rd/7 0.2 Good To Firm 7f50y Jason Hart OR 57 11/4

8 Apr 2026 Bet At Racing TV Handicap Catterick Class 5 8th/12 .5 Good 7f6y Oisin McSweeney OR 59 9/1

5 Nov 2025 Musselburgh Annual Membership 2026 Handicap Musselburgh Class 6 7th/11 1 Soft 7f15y Jason Hart OR 61 33/1

Connections

Trainer: Tristan Davidson 15%
Jockey: Rowan Scott 11%
Owner: Mrs Hugh Fraser
Sire: Bated Breath (GB)
Dam: Tropicana Bay (GB)
Dam sire: Oasis Dream
Country: Ireland
Age: 7yo

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