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Ireland 5yo

Don Rafael (IRE)

T: Samuel Drinkwater · O: The Lucky Seven

By Always Dreaming (USA) out of Palinodie (FR)

Form 319-46313-31

4/18 W/R

Resting

18 runs
4 wins
placed
22% strike
188 d off

Recent form

Form figures 319-46313-31 188 days off

1 3 3 1 3 6

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 18 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 55
Win %: 22%
Placed %: 61%
Trend: Climbing

Course Record

12 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Hereford — well clear of the 61% career baseline.

Hereford SPEC 83% 3-2-6
Stratford 100% 1-1-2
Market Rasen 100% 0-1-1
Plumpton 100% 0-1-1
Southwell 100% 0-1-1
Uttoxeter 100% 0-1-1
Aintree 0% 0-0-1
Ascot 0% 0-0-1
Bangor-on-Dee 0% 0-0-1
Cheltenham 0% 0-0-1
Ludlow 0% 0-0-1
Warwick 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

8 jockeys · 3 trainers

Jockeys

Sean Bowen 80% 1-3-5
Daire McConville 25% 1-0-4
Benjamin Macey(3) NOW 100% 1-2-3
Freddie Keighley(5) 100% 0-2-2
Oscar Palmer 100% 1-0-1
Adam Wedge 0% 0-0-1
Harry Atkins 0% 0-0-1
Jack Tudor 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Martin Keighley 54% 2-5-13
Samuel Drinkwater NOW 100% 2-2-4
John Butler 0% 0-0-1

Going Record

18 classifiable runs

Softleaning Loves the dig — 50% in-the-money on softer ground vs 0% on fast.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm — 0 runs
Good 67% 3-5-12
Good to Soft 67% 1-1-3
Soft 0% 0-0-1
Heavy 50% 0-1-2

Distance Record

18 classifiable runs

Specialist Pure staying horse — 61% in-the-money at ≥ 1m4f.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f — 0 runs
Mile 7f – 1m1f — 0 runs
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f — 0 runs
Staying ≥ 1m4f 61% 4-7-18

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

18 Mar 2026 Hereford Bull Trail Launch 2026 Handicap Hurdle Hereford Class 4 1st/7 +0 Good 3m1f119y Benjamin Macey OR 103 3/1F

11 Feb 2026 Green Dragon Hotel Hereford Handicap Hurdle Hereford Class 4 3rd/7 11 Heavy 2m4f Benjamin Macey OR 104 13/2

14 Dec 2025 Grace & Dotty Country Clothing Handicap Hurdle Southwell Class 4 3rd/7 4.5 Good To Soft 2m4f88y Benjamin Macey OR 104 11/2

3 Nov 2025 BetWright Bet The Wright Way 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional & Amateur Jockeys) Hereford Class 5 1st/9 +0 Good 2m3f147y Oscar Palmer OR 104 11/4F

11 May 2025 J H Builders Conditional Jockeys' Training Series Handicap Hurdle Plumpton Class 4 3rd/5 5 Good 2m4f114y Freddie Keighley OR 105 11/4

12 Apr 2025 Pentraeth Subaru Handicap Hurdle Bangor-on-Dee Class 4 6th/10 5.5 Good 2m3f123y Daire McConville OR 106 4/1J

9 Mar 2025 Barbers Flooring Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Warwick Class 4 4th/7 1.5 Good 2m Daire McConville OR 107 6/1

20 Dec 2024 Howden Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Ascot Class 3 9th/13 2 Good To Soft 2m5f141y Daire McConville OR 107 14/1

27 Nov 2024 HCD Ltd Handicap Hurdle Hereford Class 5 1st/9 +0 Good To Soft 2m3f147y Daire McConville OR 102 5/2

4 Nov 2024 Join The Hereford Racing Club 'Hands And Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional & Amateur Jockeys) Hereford Class 5 3rd/7 3.75 Good 2m3f147y Freddie Keighley OR 103 3/1

Connections

Trainer: Samuel Drinkwater 12%
Owner: The Lucky Seven
Sire: Always Dreaming (USA)
Dam: Palinodie (FR)
Dam sire: Doctor Dino
Country: Ireland
Age: 5yo

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