13
Ireland 3yo

Fallacious Promise (GB)

T: John Butler · J: Luke Morris · O: Mrs Bettine Evans
By Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) out of Byrony (IRE)
Form 9223121168
  1. 8
  2. 6
  3. 1
  4. 1
  5. 2
  6. 1
Active
  • 13 runs
  • 3 wins
  • placed
  • 23% strike
  • 11 d off
  • 77 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 9223121168 11 days off
At Kempton (AW) 1/5 1 win · 3 placed
Over 1m 3/7 3 wins · 5 placed
Best RPR 77 Career peak
Best TS 67 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 13 runs · form score 0–100
28 Oct 2025 · Leicester · 9th/9 (btn 17) 26 Nov 2025 · Chelmsford City (AW) · 10th/13 (btn 1.5) 8 Dec 2025 · Lingfield (AW) · 5th/12 (btn 8.5) 19 Jan 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW) · 9th/10 (btn 2.25) 11 Feb 2026 · Kempton (AW) · 2nd/12 (btn .5) 1 May 2026 · Newcastle (AW) · 2nd/8 (btn 2) 4 Jun 2026 · Lingfield (AW) · 3rd/10 (btn 0.3) 6 Jul 2026 · Lingfield (AW) · 1st/10 (won 0) 8 Jul 2026 · Kempton (AW) · 2nd/13 (btn .75) 10 Aug 2026 · Kempton (AW) · 1st/14 (won 0) 15 Aug 2026 · Lingfield (AW) · 1st/6 (won 0) 4 Sep 2026 · Kempton (AW) · 6th/7 (btn 0.1) 26 Oct 2026 · Kempton (AW) · 8th/13 (btn 1)
  • Win
  • Placed
  • Mid-pack
  • Rear
  • DNF
  • OR mark
Peak form
100
Mean
54
Win %
23%
Placed %
54%
Trend
Climbing

Course Record

6 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Lingfield (AW) — well clear of the 54% career baseline.

  • Kempton (AW) 60% 1-2-5
  • Lingfield (AW) SPEC 75% 2-1-4
  • Newcastle (AW) 100% 0-1-1
  • Chelmsford City (AW) 0% 0-0-1
  • Leicester 0% 0-0-1
  • Wolverhampton (AW) 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

5 jockeys · 1 trainer

Jockeys

  • Luke Morris NOW 86% 3-3-7
  • Grace McEntee 0% 0-0-3
  • Darragh Keenan 100% 0-1-1
  • David Egan 0% 0-0-1
  • Paul Mulrennan 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

  • John Butler NOW 54% 3-4-13

Race history

10 of 10 runs
Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds
26 Oct 2026 Try Unibet's New Racing Bet Builder Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) Kempton (AW) Class 4 8th/13 1 Standard / Slow 1m Luke Morris OR 77 12/1
4 Sep 2026 Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Stakes Kempton (AW) Class 4 6th/7 0.1 Standard / Slow 1m David Egan OR 77 5/1
15 Aug 2026 Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes Lingfield (AW) Class 6 1st/6 +0 Standard 1m Luke Morris OR 63 1/2F
10 Aug 2026 Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes Kempton (AW) Class 5 1st/14 +0 Standard / Slow 1m Luke Morris OR 63 3/1
8 Jul 2026 Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap Kempton (AW) Class 6 2nd/13 .75 Standard / Slow 1m Luke Morris OR 53 6/5F
6 Jul 2026 Follow attheraces On Instagram Handicap Lingfield (AW) Class 6 1st/10 +0 Standard 1m Luke Morris OR 53 8/11F
4 Jun 2026 Follow AtTheRaces On X Handicap Lingfield (AW) Class 6 3rd/10 0.3 Standard 1m1y Luke Morris OR 53 3/1
1 May 2026 Quaff Box Handicap Newcastle (AW) Class 6 2nd/8 2 Standard 1m2f42y Luke Morris OR 50 5/4F
11 Feb 2026 Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap Kempton (AW) Class 6 2nd/12 .5 Standard To Slow 1m Darragh Keenan OR 47 20/1
19 Jan 2026 Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) Class 6 9th/10 2.25 Standard 7f36y Paul Mulrennan OR 50 10/1

Connections

Trainer
John Butler 13%
Jockey
Luke Morris 12%
Owner
Mrs Bettine Evans
Sire
Lope Y Fernandez (IRE)
Dam
Byrony (IRE)
Dam sire
Byron
Country
Ireland
Age
3yo

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