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Ireland 5yo

Fortunate Star (IRE)

T: Declan Carroll · O: Ray Flegg John Bousfield

By Unfortunately (IRE) out of Effusive (GB)

Form 60-45112338

7/52 W/R

Resting

52 runs
7 wins
placed
13% strike
153 d off

Recent form

Form figures 60-45112338 153 days off

8 3 3 2 1 1

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 28 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 52
Win %: 13%
Placed %: 40%
Trend: Steady

Course Record

16 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Catterick, Newcastle (AW) — well clear of the 40% career baseline.

Southwell (AW) 50% 3-3-12
Catterick SPEC 62% 1-4-8
Nottingham 33% 1-1-6
Newcastle (AW) SPEC 100% 1-3-4
Doncaster 50% 0-2-4
Beverley 0% 0-0-3
Leicester 0% 0-0-3
Hamilton 50% 0-1-2
Thirsk 0% 0-0-2
York 0% 0-0-2
Haydock 100% 1-0-1
Ayr 0% 0-0-1
Carlisle 0% 0-0-1
Musselburgh 0% 0-0-1
Pontefract 0% 0-0-1
Redcar 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

8 jockeys · 2 trainers

Jockeys

Zak Wheatley 29% 2-5-24
Harry Smith 55% 2-4-11
Conor Whiteley(5) NOW 80% 1-3-5
Harrison Shaw 60% 1-2-5
Connor Murtagh 0% 0-0-2
Oliver Stammers 0% 0-0-2
Robert Dunne 0% 0-0-2
Billy Loughnane 100% 1-0-1

Trainers

Declan Carroll 36% 5-11-44
Stephen Hanlon NOW 62% 2-3-8

Going Record

52 classifiable runs

Allrounder Handles a range — peak 46% on Good, but no surface bias jumps out.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 17% 0-1-6
Good 46% 6-7-28
Good to Soft 25% 0-2-8
Soft 44% 1-3-9
Heavy 100% 0-1-1

Distance Record

52 classifiable runs

Allrounder Versatile — handles a range of trips with similar effectiveness.

Sprint ≤ 6f 40% 7-14-52
Seven 6½ – 7f — 0 runs
Mile 7f – 1m1f — 0 runs
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f — 0 runs
Staying ≥ 1m4f — 0 runs

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

22 Apr 2026 racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap Catterick Class 6 V 8th/8 .5 Good 5f Conor Whiteley OR 58 5/2F

15 Apr 2026 Country & Western Night 25th April Handicap Southwell (AW) Class 6 V 3rd/10 1 Standard 4f214y Conor Whiteley OR 58 9/2

2 Apr 2026 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap Southwell (AW) Class 6 V 3rd/13 .5 Standard 4f214y Conor Whiteley OR 58 4/1

11 Mar 2026 Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Handicap Newcastle (AW) Class 6 V 2nd/8 1.25 Standard 5f Conor Whiteley OR 52 5/2F

6 Mar 2026 Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Classified Stakes Newcastle (AW) Class 6 V 1st/9 +0 Standard 5f Billy Loughnane OR 52 3/1F

24 Feb 2026 Midnite Aint Your Grandads Bookie Classified Stakes Southwell (AW) Class 6 V 1st/8 +0 Standard 4f214y Conor Whiteley OR 50 7/2

11 Feb 2026 Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap Southwell (AW) Class 6 P 5th/6 1.75 Standard 4f214y Oliver Stammers OR 52 11/2

20 Jan 2026 Make The Move To Midnite Handicap Southwell (AW) Class 6 P 4th/9 0.3 Standard 4f214y Oliver Stammers OR 53 12/1

7 Oct 2025 Download The At The Races App Handicap Southwell (AW) Class 6 T 11th/12 1.5 Standard 4f214y Harry Smith OR 55 5/1

25 Sep 2025 Happy Birthday Keith Chesters Apprentice Handicap Pontefract Class 6 T 6th/8 1.5 Good To Soft 5f3y Harry Smith OR 57 6/1

Connections

Trainer: Declan Carroll 11%
Owner: Ray Flegg John Bousfield
Sire: Unfortunately (IRE)
Dam: Effusive (GB)
Dam sire: Starspangledbanner
Country: Ireland
Age: 5yo

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