Ireland 7yo

Iceberg Theory (IRE)

T: Paul Nolan · J: Jordan Gainford · O: John J Brennan

By Flemensfirth (USA) out of Joanne One (IRE)

Form 636-P211-5P3

9/2 Current odds

3/16 W/R

130 RPR

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Active

16 runs
3 wins
placed
19% strike
19 d off
130 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 636-P211-5P3 19 days off

3 P 5 1 1 2

At Limerick 1/2 1 win · 2 placed

On Good 1/1 1 win · 1 placed

Best RPR 130 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 16 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 51
Win %: 19%
Placed %: 62%
Trend: Steady

Course Record

10 venues

Career strike 62%; best at Cork (100% from 2 runs).

Cork 100% 1-1-2
Limerick 100% 1-1-2
Wexford 100% 0-2-2
Leopardstown 50% 0-1-2
Navan 50% 1-0-2
Punchestown 0% 0-0-2
Galway 100% 0-1-1
Limerick (IRE) 100% 0-1-1
Cheltenham 0% 0-0-1
Fairyhouse 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

5 jockeys · 1 trainer

Jockeys

Sean Flanagan 75% 1-5-8
Conor Stone-Walsh 50% 2-0-4
Jordan Gainford NOW 50% 0-1-2
Aidan Kelly 100% 0-1-1
Mr D G Lavery 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Paul Nolan NOW 62% 3-7-16

Going Record

13 classifiable runs

Softspecialist Loves the dig — 100% in-the-money on softer ground vs 0% on fast.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm — 0 runs
Good 100% 1-0-1
Good to Soft 40% 1-1-5
Soft 50% 0-2-4
Heavy 100% 1-2-3

Distance Record

16 classifiable runs

Specialist Pure staying horse — 62% in-the-money at ≥ 1m4f.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f — 0 runs
Mile 7f – 1m1f — 0 runs
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f — 0 runs
Staying ≥ 1m4f 62% 3-7-16

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

18 Oct 2026 BOYLE Sports JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3) Limerick (IRE) Class 1 P 3rd/11 1.25 Good To Yielding 3m Jordan Gainford OR 127 6/1

2 May 2026 Palmerstown House Estate Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase (0-150) (Listed) Punchestown P PU - Yielding 3m104y Conor Stone-Walsh OR 129 10/1

10 Mar 2026 National Hunt Challenge Cup Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cheltenham Class 2 P 5th/17 0.2 Good To Soft 3m6f Conor Stone-Walsh OR 133 13/2

23 Nov 2025 Kevin McManus Bookmaker Handicap Chase Cork P 1st/15 +0 Yielding 2m5f50y Conor Stone-Walsh OR 120 11/2F

22 May 2025 Munster Drilling Beginners Chase Limerick P 1st/6 +0 Good 2m6f160y Conor Stone-Walsh 5/2

17 Mar 2025 BoyleSports Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Chase Wexford P 2nd/9 1.25 Good To Yielding 3m1f100y Sean Flanagan 9/2

1 Feb 2025 Race And Stay At Leopardstown Handicap Hurdle (0-150) (Listed) Leopardstown P PU - Soft 3m19y Sean Flanagan OR 121 20/1

7 Dec 2024 Bective Stud, Tea Rooms & Apartments Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Navan P 6th/20 0.3 Soft 3m1f50y Sean Flanagan OR 121 8/1

26 Oct 2024 W.B. Gavin & Co. Handicap Hurdle Galway P 3rd/10 6 Yielding To Soft 2m5f200y Sean Flanagan OR 121 13/2

1 May 2024 Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Hurdle Series Final Punchestown 6th/17 5.5 Good To Yielding 2m3f58y Jordan Gainford OR 120 22/1

Connections

Trainer: Paul Nolan 11%
Jockey: Jordan Gainford 10%
Owner: John J Brennan
Sire: Flemensfirth (USA)
Dam: Joanne One (IRE)
Dam sire: Vinnie Roe
Country: Ireland
Age: 7yo

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