Ireland 3yo Market Favourite

Kelly Burn (GB)

T: Dan Skelton · J: Harry Skelton · O: The Gredley Family

By Sea The Moon (GER) out of Wemyss Bay (GB)

Form 9-352151182

9/4 Current odds

3/11 W/R

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Active

11 runs
3 wins
placed
27% strike
3 d off
83 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 9-352151182 3 days off

2 8 1 1 5 1

At Warwick 0/1 0 wins · 1 placed

On Good 0/2 0 wins · 1 placed

Over 2m 0/2 0 wins · 1 placed

Best RPR 83 Career peak

Best TS 70 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 11 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 52
Win %: 27%
Placed %: 55%
Trend: Climbing

Course Record

9 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Wolverhampton (AW) — well clear of the 55% career baseline.

Wolverhampton (AW) SPEC 100% 1-2-3
Goodwood 100% 1-0-1
Warwick 100% 0-1-1
Yarmouth 100% 1-0-1
Doncaster 0% 0-0-1
Ffos Las 0% 0-0-1
Kempton (AW) 0% 0-0-1
Newmarket 0% 0-0-1
Southwell (AW) 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

7 jockeys · 2 trainers

Jockeys

Daniel Muscutt 25% 0-1-4
Jack Doughty 50% 0-1-2
Ashley Lewis 100% 1-0-1
Cieren Fallon 100% 1-0-1
Harry Skelton NOW 100% 0-1-1
Hollie Doyle 100% 1-0-1
Rowan Scott 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

James Fanshawe 50% 3-2-10
Dan Skelton NOW 100% 0-1-1

Going Record

11 classifiable runs

Firmspecialist Fires on firmer ground — 100% in-the-money on a fast surface vs 0% on softer ground.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 100% 2-0-2
Good 67% 1-3-6
Good to Soft 0% 0-0-3
Soft — 0 runs
Heavy — 0 runs

Distance Record

11 classifiable runs

Allrounder Versatile — handles a range of trips with similar effectiveness.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f — 0 runs
Mile 7f – 1m1f 33% 0-1-3
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 60% 2-1-5
Staying ≥ 1m4f 67% 1-1-3

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

3 Nov 2026 Alder Demain & Akers Juvenile Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race) Warwick Class 4 H 2nd/7 4.25 Good 2m Harry Skelton 13/8J

24 Sep 2026 Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race) Newmarket Class 1 8th/10 12 Good 2m Jack Doughty OR 78 33/1

28 Aug 2026 Virgin Bet A Good Bet Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Goodwood Class 4 1st/6 +0 Good To Firm 1m4f Ashley Lewis OR 75 9/2

26 Jun 2026 First Furnishings' Front Runners Handicap Yarmouth Class 5 1st/4 +0 Good To Firm 1m6f17y Cieren Fallon OR 69 9/4

4 Jun 2026 New Thomas Arms Handicap Ffos Las Class 5 5th/9 .5 Good To Soft 1m3f209y Daniel Muscutt OR 69 13/8F

18 May 2026 Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) Class 5 1st/5 +0 Standard 1m4f51y Hollie Doyle OR 67 7/4

6 Apr 2026 Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) Class 6 H 2nd/7 2.25 Standard 1m4f Daniel Muscutt OR 65 EvensF

29 Mar 2026 William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Doncaster Class 5 H 5th/8 .75 Good To Soft 1m2f43y Daniel Muscutt OR 65 12/1

23 Feb 2026 Daily Profit Boosts At betmgm.co.uk Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) Wolverhampton (AW) Class 4 H 3rd/9 4.5 Standard 1m142y Jack Doughty 66/1

26 Nov 2025 Free Tips Daily On AtTheRaces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Southwell (AW) Class 5 9th/14 2 Standard 1m Rowan Scott 28/1

Connections

Trainer: Dan Skelton 22%
Jockey: Harry Skelton 27%
Owner: The Gredley Family
Sire: Sea The Moon (GER)
Dam: Wemyss Bay (GB)
Dam sire: Sadler's Wells
Country: Ireland
Age: 3yo

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