Ireland 4yo

Must Believe (GB)

T: George Baker · J: Billy Loughnane · O: Benji Arter

By Make Believe (GB) out of Dalhousie (GB)

Form 12-45183241

3/1 Current odds

4/24 W/R

79 RPR

71 TS

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Active

24 runs
4 wins
placed
17% strike
1 d off
88 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 12-45183241 1 day off

1 4 2 3 8 1

At Chelmsford (AW) 1/1 1 win · 1 placed

On Good 0/3 0 wins · 0 placed

Over 2m 1/3 1 win · 2 placed

Best RPR 88 Career peak

Best TS 72 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 24 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 49
Win %: 17%
Placed %: 50%
Trend: Steady

Course Record

12 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Kempton (AW) — well clear of the 50% career baseline.

Kempton (AW) SPEC 86% 2-4-7
Chelmsford City (AW) 25% 0-1-4
Wolverhampton (AW) 100% 0-2-2
Southwell (AW) 50% 1-0-2
Goodwood 0% 0-0-2
Chelmsford (AW) 100% 1-0-1
Haydock 100% 0-1-1
Ascot 0% 0-0-1
Lingfield (AW) 0% 0-0-1
Newcastle (AW) 0% 0-0-1
Newmarket 0% 0-0-1
Yarmouth 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

14 jockeys · 2 trainers

Jockeys

Hector Crouch 67% 1-1-3
Jack Dace 67% 1-1-3
Paddy Bradley 67% 0-2-3
Charlie Bennett 100% 0-2-2
Benoit de la Sayette 50% 0-1-2
Raul Da Silva 50% 0-1-2
Tommie Jakes 50% 1-0-2
Billy Loughnane NOW 100% 1-0-1
Alec Voikhansky 0% 0-0-1
David Egan 0% 0-0-1
Jack Callan 0% 0-0-1
Mason Paetel 0% 0-0-1
Ryan Kavanagh 0% 0-0-1
Saffie Osborne 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Ismail Mohammed 44% 2-6-18
George Baker NOW 67% 2-2-6

Going Record

22 classifiable runs

Firmleaning Fires on firmer ground — 50% in-the-money on a fast surface vs 0% on softer ground.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm 50% 0-1-2
Good 36% 2-3-14
Good to Soft 67% 2-2-6
Soft — 0 runs
Heavy — 0 runs

Distance Record

24 classifiable runs

Leaning Best at middle trips (64% itm) but capable elsewhere.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f 0% 0-0-1
Mile 7f – 1m1f 50% 0-3-6
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 64% 3-4-11
Staying ≥ 1m4f 33% 1-1-6

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

5 Nov 2026 Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Chelmsford (AW) Class 4 1st/6 +0 Standard 2m Billy Loughnane OR 76 3/1

2 Oct 2026 Melbourne Cup Carnival Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) Ascot Class 3 4th/5 0.3 Good To Firm 2m Jack Dace OR 77 13/2

4 Sep 2026 Industry Leading In-play Markets At Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Qualifier) Kempton (AW) Class 5 2nd/8 1.5 Standard / Slow 2m Jack Dace OR 75 7/2J

12 Aug 2026 Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) Kempton (AW) Class 3 P 3rd/12 .5 Standard / Slow 1m4f Benoit de la Sayette OR 75 50/1

5 Jun 2026 Goodwood Horseracing Club Membership Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race) Goodwood Class 4 P 8th/9 11 Good To Soft 1m3f218y Ryan Kavanagh OR 76 11/1

4 May 2026 Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Kempton (AW) Class 5 1st/10 +0 Standard To Slow 1m2f219y Jack Dace OR 72 13/2

4 Feb 2026 Try Unibet's New Smartview Racecards Handicap Kempton (AW) Class 5 V 5th/13 1.5 Standard To Slow 1m2f219y Mason Paetel OR 73 11/2

15 Jan 2026 Curry And Racing Tonight Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) Class 5 V 4th/7 .5 Standard 1m5f66y Hector Crouch OR 74 4/1

20 Dec 2025 Midnite, Building The Future Of Betting Handicap (Div 1) Wolverhampton (AW) Class 5 V 2nd/10 1.5 Standard 1m4f51y Hector Crouch OR 73 4/1

26 Nov 2025 Free Tips Daily On AtTheRaces.com Ebf Novice Stakes (GBB Race) Southwell (AW) Class 5 V 1st/11 +0 Standard 1m3f Hector Crouch OR 69 11/2

Connections

Trainer: George Baker 11%
Jockey: Billy Loughnane 18%
Owner: Benji Arter
Sire: Make Believe (GB)
Dam: Dalhousie (GB)
Dam sire: Golden Horn
Country: Ireland
Age: 4yo

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