Ireland 6yo

Simpson's Paradox (IRE)

T: John Andrew Kinsella · J: Keithen Kennedy · O: J O Mythen

By Mastercraftsman (IRE) out of Alpha Lupi (IRE)

Form 80-60P-70836

11/1 Current odds

1/26 W/R

55 RPR

66 TS

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Active

26 runs
1 wins
placed
4% strike
18 d off
55 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 80-60P-70836 18 days off

6 3 8 0 7 P

At Gowran Park 0/3 0 wins · 0 placed

On Good 0/4 0 wins · 0 placed

Over 1m75y 0/1 0 wins · 0 placed

Best RPR 55 Career peak

Best TS 66 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 26 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 31
Win %: 4%
Placed %: 19%
Trend: Fading

Course Record

18 venues

Specialist on the road. Genuine course specialist at Killarney — well clear of the 19% career baseline.

Killarney SPEC 50% 1-1-4
Gowran Park 0% 0-0-3
Galway 100% 0-2-2
Bellewstown 0% 0-0-2
Navan 0% 0-0-2
Down Royal 100% 0-1-1
Ballinrobe 0% 0-0-1
Cork 0% 0-0-1
Curragh 0% 0-0-1
Dundalk (AW) 0% 0-0-1
Fairyhouse 0% 0-0-1
Gowran Park (IRE) 0% 0-0-1
Leicester 0% 0-0-1
Leopardstown 0% 0-0-1
Listowel 0% 0-0-1
Pontefract 0% 0-0-1
Punchestown 0% 0-0-1
Windsor 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

14 jockeys · 3 trainers

Jockeys

Shane Foley 38% 0-3-8
Keithen Kennedy NOW 33% 0-1-3
Conor Maxwell 0% 0-0-3
Scott McCullagh 50% 1-0-2
Adam Caffrey 0% 0-0-1
Chris Hayes 0% 0-0-1
Conor Tierney 0% 0-0-1
Gina Mangan 0% 0-0-1
J. J. Slevin 0% 0-0-1
Jack Kearney 0% 0-0-1
James Ryan 0% 0-0-1
Kieran Shoemark 0% 0-0-1
Rowan Scott 0% 0-0-1
Sam Ewing 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

John Andrew Kinsella NOW 7% 0-1-14
Mrs J. Harrington 44% 1-3-9
Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 0% 0-0-3

Going Record

22 classifiable runs

Allrounder Handles a range — peak 40% on Heavy, but no surface bias jumps out.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm — 0 runs
Good 0% 0-0-5
Good to Soft 25% 0-1-4
Soft 25% 0-2-8
Heavy 40% 1-1-5

Distance Record

26 classifiable runs

Mixed No standout trip — every bracket comes in around the same modest strike rate.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f 0% 0-0-5
Mile 7f – 1m1f 33% 1-3-12
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f 25% 0-1-4
Staying ≥ 1m4f 0% 0-0-5

Race history

10 of 10 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

19 Oct 2026 Racing Club Membership Handicap (Div I) Gowran Park (IRE) TP 6th/16 0.3 Soft 1m½f Keithen Kennedy OR 42 11/1

20 Jun 2026 Mongey Communications Handicap (0-60) Down Royal TB 3rd/12 2.25 Soft 1m2f96y Keithen Kennedy OR 46 14/1

12 Jun 2026 Societies Welcome At Gowran Park Golf Club Handicap (0-60) Gowran Park TB 8th/14 .75 Yielding 1m Keithen Kennedy OR 48 22/1

15 Mar 2026 1xBet.ie Supporting Irish Racing Handicap Curragh TP 20th/26 .5 Heavy 1m Chris Hayes OR 52 11/1

13 Feb 2026 Dundalk Winter Series Leading Trainer & Jockey Championship Handicap (0-60) Dundalk (AW) TB 7th/13 1 Standard 7f James Ryan OR 54 16/1

13 Dec 2025 Easter Festival Tickets On Sale Now Novice Handicap Hurdle Fairyhouse T PU - Soft 2m Sam Ewing OR 90 66/1

13 Nov 2025 Matchbook Supporting Irish Racing Maiden Hurdle Punchestown T 15th/21 4.5 Heavy 1m7f187y J J Slevin 80/1

20 Oct 2025 Racing Club Membership Handicap (0-60) (Div 2) Gowran Park TP 6th/15 0.1 Heavy 1m75y Scott McCullagh OR 54 5/1

7 Dec 2024 Mervyn Gray Construction Maiden Hurdle (Div 1) Navan T 12th/19 2.5 Good To Yielding 2m Conor Tierney 125/1

3 Nov 2024 Paddy Power From The Horse's Mouth Podcast Maiden Hurdle Cork T 8th/15 5.5 Good 2m60y Jack Kearney 12/1

Connections

Trainer: John Andrew Kinsella 7%
Jockey: Keithen Kennedy 8%
Owner: J O Mythen
Sire: Mastercraftsman (IRE)
Dam: Alpha Lupi (IRE)
Dam sire: Rahy
Country: Ireland
Age: 6yo

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