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Top Rated Today

Sly Man's Top Rated — Wednesday 23 September 2026

Each Top Rated lane is judged by its own historical evidence. Price filters are applied only where the ledger shows they improve selection quality.

Sly Man’s Briefing · 2026-09-23

Today’s Top Rated

35 races 379 runners scanned
Sly Man Staff analyst
Signals converging

The FoldThe FoldWhere two or more of Saturday Racing’s primary analytical signals converge on the same horse. The higher the count, the stronger the signal.

1 horse appears in two of today’s primary signals.

Editorial

Sly Man’s Take

Three minutes with the day.

1 horse in the Fold today.

Columbus at 14:30 Listowel is the day's clearest focal point, landing in The Fold with an SR of 157 and drawing agreement from all three systems — Balanced lens, Mr Fox, and the Steamer board — at a current price of 11/8. That triple-source convergence in the same race is the kind of alignment that earns a morning highlight, and the OR-rated duo of French Dynamite and Funiculi Funicula (both OR 149) later at 16:15 Listowel suggests the Irish track is carrying genuine quality today. Over at Goodwood's 15:15, Lion's Pride catches the eye on two counts: a TS of 102 shared with Naqeeb, plus a meaningful jockey upgrade to William Buick (25.0% strike rate) from Benoit de la Sayette (5.3%) — the market hasn't fully priced that switch in, so worth a look. The Kempton evening card throws up Tees Aggregates steaming from 17/2 into 9/2 at 16:41 Redcar, a move of that magnitude demanding respect, though no rating system backs it directly, so treat the market signal as a prompt to investigate rather than a green light. On balance, today's convergence is concentrated rather than broad — Columbus is the anchor, everything else is context.
The scan

Top Signals TodayTop SignalsThe highest-conviction hit from each race today, one row per race. Filters the whole card down to what’s actually worth watching.

The highest-conviction hits, one per race.

14:30 Listowel Lead signal

Columbus

Top pick

  • SR 157
  • AI ★
14:05 Goodwood #2

Plaid

Strong contender

  • AI ★
14:22 Redcar #3

Bigalo

Strong contender

  • AI ★
16:47 Listowel #4

Miss Doyenne

Highest SR (watch)

  • SR 159
14:30 Listowel #5

Beir Bua

Highest SR (watch)

  • SR 155
15:15 Goodwood #6
15:15 Goodwood #7

Naqeeb

Watch

15:57 Perth #9
16:15 Listowel #10
By the numbers

The Ratings

Top three horses by each rating system today.

SR Speed Rating SR — Speed RatingA numeric performance score based on race times. Higher is faster — typically 100+ is strong, 140+ is Group-race calibre.
  1. Miss Doyenne

    16:47 Listowel 7/2
    159
  2. Columbus

    14:30 Listowel 11/8
    157
  3. Beir Bua

    14:30 Listowel 12/1
    155
TS Topspeed TS — TopspeedAn independent speed figure benchmark. Read alongside SR for a second opinion on raw pace.
  1. Boiling Point

    15:15 Goodwood 3/1
    105
  2. Naqeeb

    15:15 Goodwood 3/1
    102
  3. Lion's Pride

    15:15 Goodwood 7/2
    102
Cross-system agreement

Systems ConsensusSystems ConsensusWhen multiple independent Saturday Racing engines (AI models, Sly Man, Mr Fox, market read) land on the same horse. Cross-system agreement is unusual and worth taking seriously.

The horses Saturday Racing's independent analytical engines all landed on. When four systems built on different signals agree, the market usually catches up quickly.

  • 3 SYSTEMS
    AGREE

    Plaid

    6/4
    14:05 Goodwood
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    • STEAMER BOARD
    🏆 WON Won — Saturday Racing called it
    Verify
  • 3 SYSTEMS
    AGREE

    Bigalo

    3/1
    14:22 Redcar
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    • STEAMER BOARD
    7th Out of the frame
    Verify
  • 3 SYSTEMS
    AGREE

    Columbus

    11/8
    14:30 Listowel
    • BALANCED LENS (AI CONSENSUS)
    • MR FOX (PICK_WINNER)
    • STEAMER BOARD
    Fell Fell during the race
    Verify
Market moves

The MoneyThe MoneyThe board’s view of the race — which horses the market is backing, which it’s abandoning, and by how much.

What the boards are telling us.

Steamers — sharp money coming inSteamerA horse whose odds have shortened significantly as the market backs it. Sharp money coming in.

Drifters — sanity checkDrifterA horse whose odds have lengthened as the market cools on it. Sanity-check signal — sometimes right, sometimes wrong.

  • Kilmond Knight

    13:55 Listowel
    50/1 200/1 294%
    MARKET COOLING
    6th Finished 6th
  • Kingston Silver

    13:55 Listowel
    50/1 200/1 294%
    MARKET COOLING
    11th Out of the frame
  • Talking Tough

    13:55 Listowel
    50/1 150/1 196%
    MARKET COOLING
    Fell Fell during the race
Contextual edges

The Angles

The situational reads.

Trainer hot streak

14 days
  1. Roger Teal 40.0% (6/15) · 5 today
  2. Pat Phelan 33.3% (2/6) · 3 today
  3. Patrick Neville 33.3% (2/6) · 3 today
  4. Emma Lavelle 28.6% (2/7) · 1 today
  5. Sam England 27.8% (5/18) · 1 today

Jockey upgrade

New pilot
  1. Searchingtheblues 19:00 Kempton (AW) Rose Dawes(5) (25.0%) up from Gina Mangan (0.0%)
    17/2 9th
  2. The Bay Warrior 20:30 Kempton (AW) Rose Dawes(5) (25.0%) up from Gina Mangan (0.0%)
    14/1 10th
  3. Sunshine And Roses 17:30 Kempton (AW) Rose Dawes(5) (25.0%) up from Charles Bishop (4.4%)
    15/2 6th
  4. Lion's Pride 15:15 Goodwood William Buick (25.0%) up from Benoit de la Sayette (5.3%)
    7/2 4th
  5. No Claims Bonus 18:30 Kempton (AW) Callum Hutchinson (18.8%) up from Kaiya Fraser (0.0%)
    10/1 5th

Course & distance

Specialist
  1. Chalk Mountain 19:30 Kempton (AW) 3 wins at Kempton (AW) 7f
    9/2 🥉 3rd

Class dropper

-1 class
  1. Craven Force 13:47 Redcar Class 2 → Class 6 (drop 4)
    16/1 5th
  2. Wondervision 14:22 Redcar Class 2 → Class 5 (drop 3)
    3/1 🥈 2nd
  3. Onslaught 14:22 Redcar Class 2 → Class 5 (drop 3)
    10/1 🥉 3rd
  4. Frontier Prince 14:47 Perth Class 1 → Class 4 (drop 3)
    9/2 🏆 WON
  5. Hope of Acklam 13:47 Redcar Class 4 → Class 6 (drop 2)
    3/1 8th