← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
JenningsBet In Brighton Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Silver Trumpet
MEDIUM Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Silver Trumpet (SR 81, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in this field and carries the joint-highest weight of 9-9, but that burden is manageable given the SR advantage over every rival. The market has shortened 11% since opening, indicating genuine confidence from informed money, and the GoingFit:+ confirms this horse handles good-to-firm — today's conditions — well. Eve Johnson Houghton's 11% strike rate is modest but Charles Bishop is a competent partner, and running off a mark just 2lb above last win is a minor penalty that a horse with a legitimate class edge should absorb. The recent form string -43761 shows a win two runs back at this level with a dip last time, but the headgear (p) is unchanged and the market move suggests the yard expects a bounce-back. Each-way alternative: Dion Baker. Main danger: State Of Madness — State Of Madness (SR 77, 7/2) has steamed in 49% from its opening price and carries a light 9-2 with a proven DistFit:+ at this exact trip, giving it a live each-way or even winning chance if the market move reflects stable confidence after a 45-day freshener.
Full result
Winner: Serenity Dream (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Serenity Dream 5/1
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2
Dion Baker Fox #2 11/2
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3
North View 7/2
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4
State Of Madness Fox #3 4/1
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5
Silver Trumpet Fox #1 9/4
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6
Dontspoilasale 12/1
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Just Jump -
Top 4 — how each finished
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