← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Wasdell Group Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Oasis Sunrise
MEDIUM Advised 3/1 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Oasis Sunrise (SR 80, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and leads on virtually every meaningful signal. Course form of W1P2 at Chepstow is directly relevant — this horse knows the track and has won here before. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm suitability for today's trip and good-to-firm conditions, and the market has shortened 8% since opening, suggesting informed money is landing on this selection. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) from its most recent outing means the competition is marginally softer, and despite running off a mark 3lb higher than at last win (MarkMv:+3), the weight of 9-13 is entirely manageable compared to Double Red carrying 10-2 with an SR of 75. The form string 211433 shows consistent competitiveness at a higher level, and the jockey Ray Dawson strikes at 16% career rate — the best booking on the card. Each-way alternative: Aravalli. Main danger: Aravalli — Aravalli (SR 78, 8/1) carries only 9-3 — a significant 10lb weight pull on Oasis Sunrise — has an outstanding Course record of W2P2 at Chepstow, GoingFit:+ on today's ground, and recent form 449114 shows two wins in its last four starts, with the mark sitting 12lb above its last win being the only concern.
Full result
Winner: Aravalli (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Aravalli Fox #2 13/2
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2
Curran 11/2
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3
Cosmo Brown 4/1
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4
Oasis Sunrise Fox #1 7/2
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5
Double Red Fox #3 5/2
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6
Virtue Diligence 7/1
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7
Polemon 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3