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Mr Fox’s call
Clementines Star
MEDIUM Advised 7/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Clementines Star (SR:80, 7/4) is the clear class standout in this field, holding a minimum 15-point SR advantage over every rival. The form string 33-321 shows a horse that finished most recently with a win, representing peak form at Class 5 level — the same class as today (ClassMv:=) — and running off the same mark as that last win (MarkMv:=). Trainer Kubler runs at 15% strike rate from 180 runners, a solid operation, and while jockey Carver's 8% rate is modest, the horse's own form does the heavy lifting. The 7/4 market price reflects genuine confidence and is not a price to oppose given the SR gap alone. Each-way alternative: Grand Vista. Main danger: Grand Vista — Grand Vista has steamed in 32% in the market — the sharpest move in the field — carries a featherweight 8-9, has prior course form (W0P1), and the first-time cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest connections are confident in a big step forward on just 2 days' turnaround, which warrants serious respect despite the SR gap.
Full result
Winner: Espona Bay (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Espona Bay 11/2
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2
Sydney Rock 6/1
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3
Clementines Star Fox #1 7/4
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4
Jackabi Fox #3 5/1
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5
Sup Of Red 12/1
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6
Grand Vista Fox #2 9/2
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7
Fullstop 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3