← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Community Fund For Elmbridge Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Great Blasket
HIGH Advised 8/15 Est. 48%
Mr Fox says
Great Blasket (SR:81, 8/15) is the clear standout on Saturday Rating — 3 points clear of the next-best War Chant and 7 clear of the field average — and carries a light 9-7 despite being the market leader, which is a favourable weight given the SR advantage. The form string 943761 shows a sharp last-time-out win, Oisin Murphy booking (22% career strike rate, the strongest jockey in this field) is a significant positive signal, and the Course:W1P1 record at Sandown confirms he handles this track. James Owen's 17% trainer strike rate is the best in the field, and the combination of a live last-run winner, top jockey, course form, and same mark (MarkMv:=) all align strongly. Each-way alternative: Bubbles Wonky. Main danger: Bubbles Wonky — Bubbles Wonky (SR:75) has dropped a class (ClassMv:↓1) and is running 6lb below last win mark (MarkMv:-6), the market has shortened 12% from the open, and Kieran Shoemark (12% strike rate) is a competent booking — the class relief could see this well-handicapped horse give Great Blasket a real race.
Full result
Winner: Bubbles Wonky (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Bubbles Wonky Fox #2 8/1
-
2
Amused 8/1
-
3
Great Blasket Fox #1 4/9
-
4
H Key Lails 18/1
-
5
Kodi Fire Fox #3 17/2
-
6
War Chant 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3