← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Distillation
MEDIUM Advised 6/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Distillation (SR:64, 6/4) is the clear ability leader in this Class 6 field — a 9-point SR gap over the next-best runner (Singarda, SR:55) is significant at this level. The GoingFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness on good ground, and the form string 0-9241 shows a last-time-out win that puts the horse in career-best form. Robert Havlin's 14% strike rate adds further confidence in the booking. The 7% drift from the morning line is a mild concern, but in a field this weak the SR advantage and going suitability outweigh that negative signal — no rival combines multiple positive signals to the same degree. Each-way alternative: Hear The Drums. Main danger: Hear The Drums — Hear The Drums (SR:50, 8/1) has steamed 12% in the market — meaningful support for a horse dropping into Class 6 with Oisin Orr booked and a 13% jockey strike rate, suggesting connections believe it is capable of better than its recent form figure of 7 implies.
Full result
Winner: Hear The Drums (GB) at SP 11/4J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hear The Drums Fox #2 4/1
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2
Miss Mambo 8/1
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3
Soda 14/1
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4
Singarda Fox #3 6/1
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5
Distillation Fox #1 13/8
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6
Go Teejay 40/1
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7
Mist of Time 16/1
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8
Retro Rocket 33/1
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9
Athenian Spirit 12/1
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10
Lady Fizz 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Distillation 6/4 5TH
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2
Hear The Drums 8/1 SP 11/4J 🏆 WON
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3
Singarda 5/1 🏁 4TH