Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

18:41 Southwell (AW) Thu 06 Aug 2026 1m14y Class 4 Good 8 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Baarberini

MEDIUM Advised 11/4 Est. 32%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Baarberini leads the field on SR:154, a clear 8-point advantage over the next-best (Kodiac City SR:146), and runs at the same class as last time (ClassMv:=), suggesting connections are confident this is the right level. At 11/4 with no market drift, the price is fair and the 4-star AI probability endorses the selection. Trainer James Horton runs a small operation (10%, 126 runners) so bringing this filly back after 38 days at a track she presumably has no negative history at represents a considered campaign move. The weight advantage of 3lb over the heavier-weighted runners (9-4 vs 9-7) is a further marginal edge. The danger is Kodiac City, a well-bred debutant with no form to assess but whose 7% market support and SR:146 suggest Hughes has an unexposed horse ready to run well first time. Each-way alternative: Kodiac City. Main danger: Kodiac City — An unexposed debutant with SR:146 from Richard Hughes's yard, showing 7% market support inward move — Hughes rarely pitches an unraced juvenile into a mile novice without confidence it can handle the trip.

Verify· #11040

Full result

Winner: Kodiac City (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Kodiac City Fox #2 Richard Hughes · Kevin Stott 17/2
2 Baarberini Fox #1 James Horton · Daniel Muscutt 5/4
3 Astral Crown David O'Meara · Daniel Tudhope 28/1
4 Quest For Glory Georgina Nicholls · Harry Vigors(5) 11/1
5 Bullrider George Boughey · Jack Callan 15/8
6 Hoosthat William Muir & Chris Grassick · Jason Hart 100/1
7 Vinery Fox #3 Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · David Nolan 28/1
8 Phantom Knight Andrew Balding · Callum Hutchinson 11/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Baarberini 11/4 🥈 2ND
2 Kodiac City 13/2 SP 15/2 🏆 WON
3 Vinery 10/1 7TH