← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ballyroan Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Ethical Diamond
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 11/10F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Ethical Diamond (SR 127, 11/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the Mullins/Ryan Moore combination — the yard's clear #1 with Moore booked over stablemate Gaucher (SR 88, Declan McDonogh). Crucially, Ethical Diamond has confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) on today's good-to-firm ground at 1m4f, the only runner in the field to tick both boxes positively. The market has shortened 10% since opening, adding meaningful confidence to what the ratings already suggest. The recent form string 111-59 shows a horse that posted a hat-trick before two below-par efforts, but the headgear (hood) addition and the class remaining the same (ClassMv:=) suggest connections believe the ability is still there to be unlocked. Each-way alternative: Asakir. Main danger: Endorsement — Endorsement (SR 126, 11/10) has steamed in 39% in the market — the biggest move in the field — carries a 4lb weight advantage (8-13 vs 9-9), and the Joseph O'Brien yard's #1 booking with Dylan Browne McMonagle confirms this is their main hope; the progressive 3-year-old profile and market confidence make it a genuine and likely favourite-priced threat.
Full result
Winner: Ethical Diamond (IRE) at SP 11/10F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Ethical Diamond Fox #1 13/8
-
2
Green Impact 6/1
-
3
Gaucher 22/1
-
4
Omni Man 33/1
-
5
Layfayette 28/1
-
6
Ascending 28/1
-
7
Endorsement Fox #2 11/10
-
—
Dallas Star 66/1
-
—
Asakir Fox #3 -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Ethical Diamond 11/8 SP 11/10F 🏆 WON
-
2
Endorsement 11/10 7TH
-
3
Asakir 12/1