Carnival de Leop Handicap

19:10 Leopardstown Thu 06 Aug 2026 0m7f42y Good to Firm 20 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Pete's Dream

MEDIUM Advised 7/2 Est. 28%

13TH

Mr Fox says

Pete's Dream holds the highest SR in the field at 62, a clear 4-point edge over the next-best Launch Time (SR:58), and at 7/2 is the market's narrow favourite in a wide-open field. The form string -89413 shows a recent third (rightmost) which keeps the horse competitive at this level, and the 4-year-old profile suggests scope for further improvement. Despite the DistFit:- flag at this trip, no horse here has a definitive distance-proven advantage given the prevalence of GoingFit:? and DistFit:? across the field, so the SR edge and youth advantage take precedence. Andrew Slattery's 10% strike rate with Jimmy Dalton (7) in the saddle is modest but not a disqualifying concern at this price, and the absence of any market drift (unlike Launch Time which has drifted 18%) means money hasn't been pulled away from this horse. Each-way alternative: Launch Time. Main danger: Launch Time — Launch Time (SR:58, 9/2) has Colin Keane booked — a 16% career strike-rate jockey — carries a useful 9-10 versus Pete's Dream's 10-2, and the visor application signals connections are targeting a performance, despite the 18% drift which is the main concern.

Verify· #11054

Full result

Winner: Launch Time (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.