← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kilcawley Construction Rated Novice Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Manoir De Mirande
MEDIUM Advised 2/1 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Manoir De Mirande (SR 128, 2/1) is the clear class leader in this small novice field, carrying 11-11 but still holding a comfortable SR advantage over the second-best rated runner. The recent form string 3-3711 shows back-to-back wins, and the market has continued to shorten — in 7% from opening — confirming stable confidence. Course form is strong (W1P1 at Sligo) and the good going suits (GoingFit:+), while Gordon Elliott's 15% strike rate with a 5lb-claim jockey in Josh Williamson keeps costs manageable. The +5 mark rise is the only note of caution, but the SR gap over rivals is wide enough to absorb it. Each-way alternative: Crystabel. Main danger: Luker's Tipple — Luker's Tipple (SR 118, 9/4) is the second-best rated horse and carries only 11-10 — 1lb lighter than Manoir De Mirande — and while the 22% market drift is a concern, Gavin Cromwell's handling of novice hurdlers and the confirmed good-going suitability (GoingFit:+) mean a bold front-running or pace-forcing ride from Keith Donoghue could expose the selection at a short price.
Full result
Winner: Luker's Tipple (IRE) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Luker's Tipple Fox #2 11/4
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2
Manoir De Mirande Fox #1 11/8
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3
Hillhead Runner 8/1
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4
Firebrand 9/2
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5
Crystabel Fox #3 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Manoir De Mirande 2/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Luker's Tipple 9/4 SP 6/4F 🏆 WON
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3
Crystabel 13/2 5TH