← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Peat Sounds
MEDIUM Advised 10/11 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Peat Sounds (SR:153, 10/11) is trained by W P Mullins (21% strike rate from 1,256 runners — the standout yard in the field by a distance) and ridden by Mr P W Mullins (28% strike rate from 174 rides), the strongest jockey-trainer combination here by a wide margin. The SR of 153 is the second-highest in the field and the connections alone demand respect in a low-grade mares bumper. The 12% drift is the one note of caution and keeps this at Medium confidence rather than High, but Mullins routinely debuts bumper horses cold and the experience edge of the pilot is decisive. Tanga Mugi (SR:154, 5/1) is the primary danger: marginally higher SR, a win on the form string (F-1 read right-to-left gives a last-run win), and a 14% market move inward — strong signals — but the connections (7% trainer, 6% jockey) are substantially weaker than the Mullins operation. Each-way alternative: Tanga Mugi. Main danger: Tanga Mugi — Tanga Mugi carries the field's highest SR (154), arrives off a last-run win, and has shortened 14% in the market — the clearest combination of form, ability and money in the field outside the Mullins runner.
Full result
Winner: Missouri Snow (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Missouri Snow Fox #3 6/1
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2
Ballito Beauty 25/1
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3
Peat Sounds Fox #1 evn
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4
River Moy 12/1
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5
Carleys Lilly Fox #4 7/1
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6
Pamelaisbrass 50/1
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7
Tanga Mugi Fox #2 3/1
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8
Loughdoo 50/1
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Chanson D'argent -
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Hope And Mercy -
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Poet's Creek -
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A Chairde Go Leir 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Peat Sounds 10/11 🥉 3RD
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2
Tanga Mugi 5/1 7TH
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3
Missouri Snow 8/1 SP 9/1 🏆 WON
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4
Carleys Lilly 6/1 5TH