← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bet In Over 200 Shops Nationwide With JenningsBet Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Bated Breeze
MEDIUM Advised 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Bated Breeze (SR:59, 3/1) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with the lightest weight at 9-3, giving it a meaningful lbs advantage over top-weight Dragon God (SR:57, 9-12). Crucially, it is the only runner with a proven DistFit:+ at this 5f215y trip, has a Course:W1P2 record at Brighton showing this track suits it, and the market has shortened 14% — exactly the kind of informed money that deserves respect. The last run figure of '1' confirms recent winning form, and the Gary & Josh Moore yard runs at a solid 12% strike rate. The MarkMv:+3 is a marginal negative but the weight relief and distance/course fit outweigh it comfortably. Each-way alternative: Mart. Main danger: Mart — Mart (SR:60, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has shortened 14% in the market, and although its DistFit:- is a concern, the SR edge and market confidence mean it is the most credible threat to Bated Breeze.
Full result
Winner: Big Time Rascal (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Big Time Rascal Fox #3 7/1
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2
Manhattan Chute 9/2
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3
Dragon God 4/1
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4
Bated Breeze Fox #1 11/4
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5
Kodi K 17/2
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6
Mart Fox #2 7/2
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7
Rajeteriat 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3