← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Al Nujaifi Racing Series Fillies & Mares Conditions Stakes - Arab Race
Mr Fox’s call
Fareedhat El Izz (A)
HIGH Advised 4/5 Est. 58%
Mr Fox says
Fareedhat El Izz (A) carries an SR of 166 — a full 18 points clear of the next-best Ghayah (SR 148) and 23 points ahead of Pharitz Lahia (SR 143). That margin is enormous at this level and the market at 4/5 reflects genuine confidence rather than blind favourite-backing. The form string 5/13-1 shows a course form cycle that ends in a win last time out, confirming current fitness. At 9-7 she is level on weight with stablemate Victoria but vastly superior in SR terms, and Mrs Hassall's decision to book Charles Bishop for this runner over the lighter-weighted alternatives strongly signals this is the yard's number-one. With five runners and an SR edge of this magnitude in a conditions stakes where ability typically dominates, this is a straightforward selection. Each-way alternative: Ghayah (A). Main danger: Ghayah (A) — Ghayah (A) is the youngest runner at 4, carries the lightest weight at 9-3, has a tidy recent form line of 4-4-2 showing consistent improvement, and at SR 148 is the only other horse in the field with genuine competitive ability — first-time blinkers (HG:b) could sharpen her response and she represents P Collington's most progressive asset.
Full result
Winner: Anafah (A) at SP 6/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Anafah (A) SP 6/4
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2
Fareedhat El Izz (A) Fox #1 4/5
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3
Ghayah (A) Fox #2 10/1
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4
Victoria (A) 17/2
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5
Pharitz Lahia (A) Fox #3 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3