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Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap Stakes

20:38 Haydock Fri 07 Aug 2026 0m6f212y Class 5 Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Tokyo Joe silks

Tokyo Joe

MEDIUM Advised 2/1 Est. 30%

8TH

Mr Fox says

Tokyo Joe (SR:81, 2/1) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Distinct Spirit but carries a notably lighter weight at 9-5 versus Distinct Spirit's 10-0 — a 9lb advantage that is significant on good ground over 6f212y. His form reads 21-641 with that last '1' a recent win, confirming peak form, and Ed Walker (15% strike rate, 799 runners) is a consistently strong handler who books Tom Marquand (13%, 1104 runners), a quality jockey pairing. The DistFit:- is a concern at this trip, but the SR lead combined with the weight pull over the next-best SR runner and the strength of the stable-jockey alliance makes him the clear pick at a market-implied 33% which our 30% estimate closely mirrors — the market is broadly right here but not overbet. Each-way alternative: Distinct Spirit. Main danger: Distinct Spirit — Distinct Spirit (SR:80) matches Tokyo Joe on ability and has proven DistFit:+ at this trip with a recent 3-3-1-1 form sequence confirming peak form, though the 10-0 top-weight burden in a competitive Class 5 handicap on good ground is the only thing separating the two at the top of the market.

Verify· #11289

Full result

Winner: Montezin (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Montezin silks Montezin Fox #4 Antony Brittain · Harry Russell 11/2
  2. 2 Distinct Spirit silks Distinct Spirit Fox #2 Daniel & Claire Kubler · Ebrahim Nader 7/2
  3. 3 Bajan Bandit silks Bajan Bandit Patrick Morris · Ryan Kavanagh(3) 22/1
  4. 4 Potomac River silks Potomac River T J Kent · Jack Mitchell 16/1
  5. 5 Magic Music silks Magic Music Steph Hollinshead · Clifford Lee 18/1
  6. 6 Farandaway silks Farandaway Grant Tuer · Oliver Stammers 6/1
  7. 7 Evocative Spark silks Evocative Spark John David Riches · Sean Kirrane 25/1
  8. 8 Tokyo Joe silks Tokyo Joe Fox #1 Ed Walker · Tom Marquand 9/4
  9. 9 Invincible Ruby silks Invincible Ruby Fox #3 Iain Jardine · Hector Crouch 8/1
  10. 10 Raffles Angel silks Raffles Angel Jack Jones · Jason Hart 12/1
  11. 11 Criminal Shore silks Criminal Shore David O'Meara · Mark Winn 50/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Tokyo Joe silks Tokyo Joe 2/1 8TH
  2. 2 Distinct Spirit silks Distinct Spirit 7/2 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Invincible Ruby silks Invincible Ruby 11/2 9TH
  4. 4 Montezin silks Montezin 6/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON