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Champagne Pommery Cuvee Louise Gold Cup Handicap Stakes

15:20 Musselburgh Fri 07 Aug 2026 0m7f15y Class 4 Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Jonny Concrete silks

Jonny Concrete

MEDIUM Advised 9/2 SP 100/30 Est. 28%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Jonny Concrete (SR 84, 9/2) is the standout on ability in this modest Class 4 field, carrying 9-12 but with a clear SR edge over most rivals. The decisive factors are: proven course form (W1P1 at Musselburgh), confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+), and a consistent recent form line of -32441 showing he is in the mix every time out. Iain Jardine's 13% strike rate is respectable and Jack Nicholls has positive course experience. Eagle Bay (SR 93) drifted 25% from opening price — significant market rejection that outweighs the SR advantage — while Passing Thought drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2) but has gone 49 days without a run and faces a going question mark (GoingFit:?). Jonny Concrete's course-and-distance combination in a field where most rivals carry going or distance question marks makes him the logical selection. Each-way alternative: Passing Thought. Main danger: Eagle Bay — Eagle Bay (SR 93, the highest in the field) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) and has a recent 3-11 form line suggesting progressive ability, so despite the 25% market drift, raw talent could still see him home if the layoff (41 days) hasn't blunted his edge.

Verify· #11158

Full result

Winner: Jonny Concrete (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Jonny Concrete silks Jonny Concrete Fox #1 Iain Jardine · Jack Nicholls(3) 9/2
  2. 2 Ashen silks Ashen Jim Goldie · Lauren Young(5) 15/2
  3. 3 Vixey silks Vixey Simon West · Aiden Brookes 16/1
  4. 4 Misunderstood silks Misunderstood David O'Meara · Daniel Tudhope 8/1
  5. 5 Native Honey silks Native Honey Jim Goldie · Paul Mulrennan 18/1
  6. 6 One Night Thunder silks One Night Thunder Gemma Tutty · Oisin McSweeney 12/1
  7. 7 Eagle Bay silks Eagle Bay Fox #2 Harriet Bethell · Sean D Bowen 10/3
  8. 8 Augustus Gloop silks Augustus Gloop James Fanshawe · Daniel Muscutt 16/1
  9. 9 Passing Thought silks Passing Thought Fox #3 Ed Walker · Kieran Shoemark 6/1
  10. 10 Zarvali silks Zarvali Fox #4 Roger Fell · Joanna Mason 10/1
  11. 11 Gweedore silks Gweedore Katie Scott · Tom Eaves 15/2

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Jonny Concrete silks Jonny Concrete 9/2 SP 100/30 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Eagle Bay silks Eagle Bay 3/1 7TH
  3. 3 Passing Thought silks Passing Thought 6/1 9TH
  4. 4 Zarvali silks Zarvali 14/1 10TH