← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Brodie Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Much
MEDIUM Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Much (SR:76, 10/3) carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-4, giving it a significant lbs advantage over top-weight Roc De Fer (SR:80, 10-1) — a 11lb swing that more than offsets the SR gap. Its form of 8742 shows a clear progressive trajectory, finishing 2nd last time out, and trainer James Fanshawe operates at 18% career strike rate, the highest in this field. At 10/3 the market is confident, and the weight-for-ability combination is the most attractive profile in the race. The tongue-tie addition (HG:t) suggests connections are targeting a step forward, and Musselburgh's galloping 1m5f suits progressive types. Each-way alternative: Sure And Stedfast. Main danger: Roc De Fer — Roc De Fer (SR:80, top-rated) showed a 1-1-3 sequence on good going and carries only 3 year old form, but its 17% market drift and top-weight of 10-1 in soft conditions are serious negatives that could be overcome if the drift is simply crowd behaviour rather than stable concern.
Full result
Winner: Sure And Stedfast (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Sure And Stedfast Fox #4 6/1
-
2
Roc De Fer Fox #2 5/6
-
3
Willow Wood Fox #3 15/2
-
4
Much Fox #1 3/1
-
5
Simple Star 40/1
-
6
Alnayef 16/1
-
—
Tommy's Promise -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4