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Peter Bell Memorial Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Bymiddaytomorrow
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 11/8F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Bymiddaytomorrow (SR:71, 11/8) is the clear ability leader in this modest Class 5 nursery, carrying 10-1 but with the highest SR in the field by a meaningful margin over Gerry's Darling (SR:69). The key signal is the 11% market move in — money has come for this horse since the morning — combined with a last-time-out win (form reads 6581, rightmost = 1) and a drop of two class tiers. Ed Walker runs at a solid 15% strike rate and has booked Ashley Lewis who also operates at 17%. The weight burden of 10-1 in a Class 5 nursery is manageable given the SR advantage, and the moderate distance fit flag (DistFit:~) is not a serious concern at 7f for a two-year-old improving through her form figures. Each-way alternative: Gerry's Darling. Main danger: Gerry's Darling — Gerry's Darling (SR:69, 2/1) arrives on a last-time-out win (form 8721), drops a class tier, and carries 9-8 versus the selection's 10-1 — that 7lb weight advantage on good ground is a genuine live threat even if the slight market drift (out 5%) suggests the market fractionally prefers Bymiddaytomorrow.
Full result
Winner: Bymiddaytomorrow (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bymiddaytomorrow Fox #1 11/8
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2
Love Tanya Fox #3 5/1
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3
Gerry's Darling Fox #2 7/4
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4
Bonjour Belle 18/1
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5
Spirit of Mary 12/1
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6
Priscilla's Hope 25/1
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Consultation -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bymiddaytomorrow 11/8 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Gerry's Darling 2/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Love Tanya 5/1 🥈 2ND