← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Rebel Wave
MEDIUM Advised 11/4 SP 9/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Rebel Wave (SR:90, 11/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by 5 points over the next best, and carries a highly favourable 8-11 — a full 6lb less than top-weight Stugardia and 2lb less than Greydreambeliever. The form string 5621 reads right-to-left as a last-run win, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this 7f trip. W J Lee (15% career strike rate, 744 runners) is an elite booking and the MarkMv:+1 means she's running off virtually the same mark as her win, not a punitive rise. The only caveat is GoingFit:? — no confirmed evidence on good-to-firm — but as a lightly-raced 3-year-old with an upward trajectory, that unknown is not a red flag, merely an open question. Each-way alternative: Pretty Omagh Girl. Main danger: Pretty Omagh Girl — Pretty Omagh Girl has steamed in 17% in the market to 7/1, posted a last-run win (Form:424-10, rightmost=0 is the second-last, last run is the 1), carries a light 9-7, and Ben Coen (12% strike rate) is a smart booking — the money coming for her is the most significant market signal in the race.
Full result
Winner: Rebel Wave (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Rebel Wave Fox #1 5/2
-
2
Rion Rubette 11/1
-
3
Thrifty Of Digby Fox #4 5/1
-
4
Hasita 6/1
-
5
Greydreambeliever 9/2
-
6
Mallavelly Fox #3 9/2
-
7
Akecheta 10/1
-
—
Stugardia -
-
—
Pretty Omagh Girl Fox #2 -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Rebel Wave 11/4 SP 9/4F 🏆 WON
-
2
Pretty Omagh Girl 7/1
-
3
Mallavelly 9/2 6TH
-
4
Thrifty Of Digby 7/1 🥉 3RD