← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Chosen Shant
MEDIUM Advised 15/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Chosen Shant (SR:97) is the clear class leader in this field — the next best SR is Annarubyrose at 81, a 16-point gap that represents a significant ability edge in a €6,000 mares' handicap. At 15/8 she carries 12-0 as top-weight but crucially holds confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at this 2m180y trip on good ground, making her the only runner in the field with both distance and going flags confirmed positive. The MarkMv:+13 is the one concern — she is running off a mark 13lb higher than her last win — but her form string of 743712 shows consistent involvement at the top of handicaps and she was placed (2) just two runs ago. Trainer Aengus King's 8% strike rate is modest but Phillip Enright aboard is a reliable booking for a horse that simply outclasses this field on ability. Each-way alternative: Annarubyrose. Main danger: Tropical Twist — Tropical Twist (SR:75) is trained by Gordon Elliott (15% strike rate, 1701 runners) with Jack Kennedy aboard (20% strike rate) — the strongest connections pairing in the race — and at 8/1 represents market respect despite the DistFit:- flag.
Full result
Winner: Tropical Twist (IRE) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tropical Twist Fox #3 17/2
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2
Game Phoenix 20/1
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3
Teagarden Jazz 80/1
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4
Avandra 9/2
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5
Chosen Shant Fox #1 2/1
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6
Lady Victrix 14/1
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7
Annarubyrose Fox #2 15/2
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8
Backwithyourown 12/1
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9
Eaglewood 9/1
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10
La Rocca Lass 28/1
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11
Tudorista 12/1
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12
Stormy Jenn 22/1
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13
Tellmemamema 10/1
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Erne Star -
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Wings Of Africa 25/1
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Maxios Lady -
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Annie Agnew -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Chosen Shant 15/8 5TH
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2
Annarubyrose 7/1 7TH
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3
Tropical Twist 8/1 SP 17/2 🏆 WON