← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Poppycon
MEDIUM Advised 3/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Poppycon holds the highest SR in the field at 88, and at 11-12 is topweight but the 6lb advantage over Las Brisas Boy (SR:86, 11-3) and Larkins Lane (SR:86, 11-1) is real and meaningful in a competitive lower-grade handicap hurdle. The form string 82F-42 shows consistent placed efforts at this level, and while the 8% market drift is a concern, the stable (Eoin Doyle) has booked an experienced conditionals rider and the horse's class edge over a 17-runner field at this prize level is decisive. Esticky End (SR:83) has drifted 20% and carries +6 on the mark after a recent win, making it vulnerable to the assessor; Poppycon has no such penalty hanging over it. Each-way alternative: Larkins Lane. Main danger: Larkins Lane — Larkins Lane (SR:86) has DistFit:+ at this trip — the only runner confirmed proven over today's distance — and a form string of 8-9118 showing back-to-back wins in recent starts, making it the biggest threat despite carrying a +7 mark penalty and drifting 8%.
Full result
Winner: Esticky End (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Esticky End Fox #4 11/2
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2
Las Brisas Boy Fox #3 4/1
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3
Chosen Princess 11/1
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4
Larkins Lane Fox #2 12/1
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5
Ballinaboola Gold 8/1
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6
Dark Berkshire 10/1
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7
Mother Ship 14/1
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8
Thurman 33/1
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9
Davitts Quay 40/1
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10
Poppycon Fox #1 3/1
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11
Ballyminnion Boy 18/1
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12
China Grill 66/1
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Ballinvasas Best 17/2
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Drumadeise 22/1
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Little Boy Sivola -
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Laligurash -
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General Clermont -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Poppycon 3/1 10TH
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2
Larkins Lane 10/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Las Brisas Boy 4/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Esticky End 5/1 SP 6/1 🏆 WON