← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
A McKie Builders EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Beechwood Glory
MEDIUM Advised 9/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Beechwood Glory (SR 154, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 6 SR points clear of the next-best Flashing Star (SR 148) and a full 22 points ahead of anything else. The market agrees emphatically with a 14% shortening since opening, signalling informed money rather than public sentiment on a 2yo maiden. The form of 5-3 is perfectly acceptable for this class — finishing in the frame in both career starts — and at 9-7 the weight is manageable and level with most rivals. The only concern is the raw strike rates for trainer John Butler (14%) and jockey Sheehy (9%), which are modest, but the SR advantage and market support override that reservation. Each-way alternative: Flashing Star. Main danger: Flashing Star — Flashing Star (SR 148, 15/2) has steamed in 35% in the market — the biggest move in the field — is dropping three class tiers, and is fitted with headgear for the first time, suggesting connections believe they have unlocked something despite the uninspiring 6-6 form line.
Full result
Winner: Roman Crystal (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Roman Crystal 9/2
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2
Beechwood Glory Fox #1 9/4
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3
Unbeatable Fame 50/1
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4
Ponte Carlo 5/1
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5
Mick's The Boy 4/1
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6
Coul Blue 25/1
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7
Flashing Star Fox #2 15/2
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8
Black Cuillin 10/1
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9
Redrosecastana 33/1
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Lone Striker Fox #3 -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Beechwood Glory 9/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Flashing Star 15/2 7TH
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3
Lone Striker 16/1