Sunday Roast At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes

18:00 Ayr Sat 08 Aug 2026 0m5f0y Class 6 Good 13 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Harb

MEDIUM Advised 11/2 Est. 26%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Harb (SR:60, 11/2) is the most compelling case in this modest Class 6 sprint. The 26% market steam is the standout signal in the field — money has moved significantly toward this horse since opening. Trainer Tristan Davidson hits at 18% strike rate from 127 runners, the best strike rate of any yard represented today, and Harb is dropping a class (↓1) while running off a mark 1lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-1), both favourable handicap conditions. Course form of W1P1 at Ayr adds further substance, and only 7 days since last run suggests connections are keen to strike while the horse is cherry-ripe. Each-way alternative: Water Of Leith. Main danger: Water Of Leith — Water Of Leith (SR:62, 4/1) has steamed 29% in the market — the joint-biggest move alongside Harb — carries only 9-9 with a MarkMv:-3 advantage, and Jim Goldie's yard runs at 14% strike rate, making this the most likely horse to upset Harb if the money is right.

Verify· #11461

Full result

Winner: South Parade (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 South Parade Richard & Peter Fahey · Ethan Tindall(5) 4/1
2 Startling John Wainwright · Jason Hart 10/1
3 Harry Mole Fox #3 Steph Hollinshead · Dougie Costello 4/1
4 Falcon Queen R Mike Smith · James Sullivan 66/1
5 Harb Fox #1 Tristan Davidson · Lexie Clarkson(7) 9/2
6 Summerstorms Dream Jim Goldie · Lauren Young(5) 33/1
7 Keep The Gold Michael Dods · Lewis Edmunds 18/1
8 Midnight Lir Michael Dods · Sean Kirrane 16/1
9 Supremissy Iain Jardine · Andrew Mullen 20/1
10 Hi Lord W H Harrison · Barry McHugh 7/1
11 Royal Duke R Mike Smith · Shay Farmer(5) 12/1
12 Water Of Leith Fox #2 Jim Goldie · Paul Mulrennan 4/1
— King Of The Jungle Michael & David Easterby · Billy Garritty -

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Harb 11/2 5TH
2 Water Of Leith 4/1 12TH
3 Harry Mole 10/3 🥉 3RD