← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Book Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup Ladies Day Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Tiger
MEDIUM Advised 10/11 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Tiger (SR 82, 10/11) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 6 SR points clear of second-best Dryburgh (SR 81) and 7 clear of Phantom Shadow (SR 75). Dropping one class from last run and returning to the same mark as last win, Tiger has also steamed 21% in the market, which in a 13-runner Class 5 handicap at a modest prize level is meaningful stable confidence. The form line 4-6421 shows a progressive right-to-left sequence culminating in a recent second, and at 10-7 under top weight the class advantage is substantial enough to overcome the burden. GoingFit is only moderate (~) but good ground is not a disqualifying concern given the overall SR dominance. Each-way alternative: Dryburgh. Main danger: Dryburgh — Dryburgh (SR 81, 9/2) has steamed 38% in the market, carries a favourable 9-8 versus Tiger's 10-7 — a 13lb weight swing that matters on good ground over 1m2f — and trainer Oli Rix hits 14% strike rate from only 28 runners, suggesting a sharp yard firing with purpose here.
Full result
Winner: Pol Roger (IRE) at SP 20/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pol Roger 16/1
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2
Tiger Fox #1 evn
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3
Faeberon 14/1
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4
Geo 22/1
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5
Draupnir 16/1
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6
Unchartedterritory 14/1
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7
Phantom Shadow Fox #3 7/1
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8
Mr Lincoln 11/1
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9
Dryburgh Fox #2 7/2
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10
Mayor Of Maghera 80/1
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11
Ibn Altheeb 40/1
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12
Natzor 150/1
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13
Path To Peace 66/1
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Annandale -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Tiger 10/11 🥈 2ND
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2
Dryburgh 9/2 9TH
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3
Phantom Shadow 7/1 7TH