← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Christmas Parties At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Lanarra
MEDIUM Advised 11/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Lanarra (SR:62, 11/2) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-8, a crucial advantage in a 13-runner Class 6 sprint on good ground, and has steamed in 36% in the market — the second-largest move in the field. The DistFit:+ tag confirms she is proven at 6f (win/place rate threshold met), and her 1-2343 form shows consistent competitiveness at this level. R Mike Smith's yard has Andrew Mullen in the saddle, a more experienced booking than Greg Fairley on stablemate Whiskey Kisses, identifying Lanarra as the yard's number one. The 8-8 vs Kelpie Grey's 9-11 represents a 17lb swing on the scales, which more than compensates for the 1-point SR deficit between them. Each-way alternative: Kelpie Grey. Main danger: Kelpie Grey — Kelpie Grey (SR:63, 5/2) is the field's second-highest SR, has steamed in 38% — the largest market move of any runner — and carries a workable 9-11, with Course:W0P4 showing consistent Ayr placed form that cannot be dismissed on a track where familiarity matters.
Full result
Winner: Thunderstorm Katie (GB) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Thunderstorm Katie 10/1
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2
Whiskey Kisses 10/1
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3
Mr Cool Fox #3 7/2
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4
Ukiyo Fox #4 6/1
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5
Lanarra Fox #1 6/1
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6
Taaklam 14/1
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7
Doon The Glen 28/1
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8
Kelpie Grey Fox #2 10/3
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9
Annie Edson Taylor 11/1
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10
Impressor 14/1
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11
Highfield Sunshine 22/1
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12
Masai Angel 28/1
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13
Elemma 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Lanarra 11/2 5TH
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2
Kelpie Grey 5/2 8TH
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3
Mr Cool 10/3 🥉 3RD
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4
Ukiyo 15/2 🏁 4TH