← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Festive Day Dancing At Ayr Racecourse Classified Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Flying Moonlight
MEDIUM Advised 9/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Flying Moonlight (SR 55, 9/2) matches the top SR tier in this field and carries a significant weight advantage at 9-1 versus Wicklow Way's 10-0 — a 13lb edge that matters considerably at 1m2f on good ground. The form string 777-33 shows consistent placed efforts culminating in two recent thirds, suggesting a horse improving toward a win rather than regressing. Crucially, the market has shortened 11% and the horse has course form (W0P1 at Ayr), both corroborating signals the stable believes conditions suit. At 9/2 with the lightest weight among the SR-competitive horses and a market move in its favour, this represents the best convergence of signals in the field. Each-way alternative: Sassy Glory. Main danger: Sassy Glory — Sassy Glory (SR 56, 7/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a fraction, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and course form (W0P1 at Ayr), is ridden by the more accomplished Jason Hart (14% strike rate), and has shortened 7% in the market — the Walford yard's clear #1 runner over stablemate Wicklow Way.
Full result
Winner: Patrick Street (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Patrick Street Fox #4 7/2
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2
Flying Moonlight Fox #1 3/1
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3
Falaise Blanc 14/1
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4
Wicklow Way Fox #3 5/2
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5
Sassy Glory Fox #2 7/1
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6
Resdev Time 28/1
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7
Golden Valour 20/1
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8
One More Bottle 28/1
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9
Zebra Star 18/1
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10
Raise The Stakes 16/1
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11
Storm On Jura 28/1
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12
Sanny Doo 100/1
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Charencey -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Flying Moonlight 9/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Sassy Glory 7/1 5TH
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3
Wicklow Way 11/4 🏁 4TH
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4
Patrick Street 4/1 SP 11/2 🏆 WON