← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betway Rose Of Lancaster Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Sallaal
HIGH Advised 8/11 SP 1/2F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Sallaal (SR 135, 8/11) is the clear standout in this small Group 3 field. The SR of 135 is materially superior to every rival — Nahraan sits at SR 122 and Convergent at SR 119, with Sea Scout a distant SR 95. The form line 35-211 shows back-to-back wins most recently, and crucially both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at today's trip and going bucket — a double confirmation no other runner matches. The 10% market move inward on top of already-short 8/11 pricing signals stable confidence, and Roger Varian's 19% strike rate over 642 runners is a serious operation. Running off the same mark as last win (MarkMv:=) means no penalty for that winning sequence. Each-way alternative: Convergent. Main danger: Convergent — The 42% market inward move on Convergent (SR 119, 7/2) is the sharpest steam in the race and suggests informed support that could reflect a significant step forward in form not yet reflected in the SR.
Full result
Winner: Sallaal (IRE) at SP 1/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sallaal Fox #1 8/11
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2
Sea Scout 20/1
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3
Nahraan Fox #2 7/2
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4
Convergent Fox #3 7/2
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—
Danger Bay -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sallaal 8/11 SP 1/2F 🏆 WON
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2
Nahraan 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Convergent 7/2 🏁 4TH