← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betway Tanners Bridge Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Norfolk Blue
MEDIUM Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Norfolk Blue (SR:78, 11/4) carries the joint-lightest weight in the field at 9-5, has a proven DistFit:+ at this trip, and is ridden by Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate, 1280 runners — comfortably the best jockey booking on the card). The 18% market shortening is meaningful support that aligns with the strong booking. At SR:78 it leads the field on ability, and the same-class run (ClassMv:=) means no upward step in grade to absorb. The visor (HG:v) is a gear change worth noting but not alarming given the horse has been knocking on the door with four consecutive placed/near-placed efforts. The main caveat is GoingFit:? — insufficient sample on this going bucket — but on good ground there is no negative evidence to penalise the selection. Each-way alternative: Norcross Brow. Main danger: Norcross Brow — Norcross Brow (SR:85 — the field's highest rating, 7/2) has the strongest recent form string with three wins in its last six including a 121 sequence, DistFit:+ at the trip, and trainer Charlie Clover operating at a 22% strike rate; the MarkMv:+5 is the only real concern, and if it handles the higher mark the raw ability advantage could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Norcross Brow (GB) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Norcross Brow Fox #2 3/1
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2
Crafty Blue 9/1
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3
Galba Fox #4 11/2
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4
Horace Wallace 17/2
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5
Norfolk Blue Fox #1 5/2
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6
Comprador 40/1
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7
Black Endeavour 8/1
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8
Flyta 9/1
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Napolian 18/1
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—
Berlinetta Fox #3 -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Norfolk Blue 11/4 5TH
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2
Norcross Brow 7/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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3
Berlinetta 11/2
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4
Galba 6/1 🥉 3RD