← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Runswick
MEDIUM Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Runswick (SR:98, 11/4) is the standout ability horse in this field, sitting 6 SR points clear of the next-best Man of Vision and carrying only 9-6 — a fair weight for the rating. The market has backed it in by 26%, the strongest move in the race, and Billy Loughnane (19% SR) is a top booking. Crucially, Runswick is proven at this distance (DistFit:+) and on good-to-firm going (GoingFit:+), the only runner in the field to tick both boxes positively. Running off a mark 6lb above the last win (MarkMv:+6) is the one concern, but the going and distance suitability, combined with the significant market support at a Newmarket July course specialist trip, outweigh that flag. Each-way alternative: Man of Vision. Main danger: Drymee — Drymee (SR:86, 5/2) arrives on the back of back-to-back wins (form 4-711) and carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-10, giving it a 10lb pull on Runswick's 9-6 — if it handles the step up in class and the mile trip, it is dangerous at a fair price.
Full result
Winner: Man Of Vision (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Man of Vision Fox #2 11/2
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2
Go Rimbaud 11/2
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3
Drymee Fox #3 11/4
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4
Vincenzo Peruggia 11/1
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5
Looka 9/1
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6
Runswick Fox #1 5/2
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Luzon Heights Fox #4 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4