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Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Spring Is Sprung
MEDIUM Advised 9/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Spring Is Sprung (SR:89, 9/2, 9-3) is the most rounded profile in this five-runner Class 3 sprint. The DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ flags confirm proven effectiveness at 5f on good-to-firm going — the two most critical variables for a sprint handicap — and the Course:W0P1 record at Redcar adds further course familiarity. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) into a race where the SR-leader Democracy Dilemma is carrying 10-0 gives Spring Is Sprung a meaningful 11lb weight advantage over the favourite despite being just 3 SR points inferior. David Nolan (10% SR) is a solid booking and the form string '474320' shows consistent competitiveness at the business end, with the most recent '0' likely explicable by conditions or trip rather than a form collapse. Each-way alternative: Sports Coach. Main danger: Sports Coach — Sports Coach (SR:88, 5/2) has steamed 10% in the market to a shorter price than Spring Is Sprung, carries a featherweight 8-10 which is a significant advantage in a sprint, has course experience, and the MarkMv:-2 drop in mark since last win could be the catalyst for a forward showing — the market money is telling a clear story.
Full result
Winner: Rosenpur (GER) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rosenpur 9/1
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2
Fidelius 16/1
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3
Spring Is Sprung Fox #1 4/1
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4
Sports Coach Fox #2 9/4
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5
Democracy Dilemma Fox #3 11/8
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3