← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
KEPAK Handicap Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Rexem
MEDIUM Advised 7/2 SP 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Rexem (SR:120, 7/2, Wgt:11-2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries a competitive weight that gives it a clear pound-for-pound edge over the top-weight Jasko Des Dames (SR:112, 11-12). The most compelling signal here is the 13% market move inward — in a field where most runners are drifting, this is the only horse attracting late money, and that support is meaningful on a competitive Kilbeggan card. Although DistFit:- is a concern, GoingFit:~ confirms the horse is not disadvantaged by Good ground, and trainer John McConnell's decision to run Rexem as the stable's clear #1 over stablemate Intense Approach (SR:104, 12/1, poor form 5U50-0) suggests yard confidence. The consistent recent form of 573425 — all finishes on the board — shows a reliable jumper who won't throw it away with errors. Each-way alternative: Mickie Angel. Main danger: Mickie Angel — Mickie Angel (SR:118, 7/2, Wgt:11-2) shares the same weight as Rexem but boasts a sharper recent form line of 726-23 — placed in both latest runs — with JJ Slevin aboard, a jockey whose 11% strike rate significantly outperforms the trainer's base rate, suggesting a confident booking.
Full result
Winner: Rexem (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rexem Fox #1 3/1
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2
Jasko Des Dames 9/1
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3
Mickie Angel Fox #2 10/3
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4
Ceanndana 11/2
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5
Ma Jacks Hill Fox #4 9/1
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6
Intense Approach 10/1
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7
Grange Walk 10/1
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8
A Law Of Her Own Fox #3 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4