← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Shamrock Farm Enterprises Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Morell River
MEDIUM Advised 4/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Morell River leads the field on SR (105) and carries a manageable 11-9, giving it a 3lb weight advantage over Ocean Murphy (SR 101, 11-1) despite holding a SR edge. The 23% market support (steaming from a higher price to 4/1) is significant in a 7-runner field and suggests informed money is on board. The form string 18-128 reads well: a win and a second-place finish in the most recent two completed runs, suggesting a horse in solid order. Trainer Colin Bowe has a modest 7% strike rate but the market move overrides that caution here. Each-way alternative: Ocean Murphy. Main danger: Ocean Murphy — Ocean Murphy (SR 101, 3/1) has proven going fitness (GoingFit:+), the highest-profile jockey booking in the field in Darragh O'Keeffe (14% career strike rate from 862 runners), and carries the lightest weight of the leading contenders at 11-1, giving it a real lbs advantage despite running off a 6lb higher mark than at its last win.
Full result
Winner: Harpy Eagle (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Harpy Eagle 9/2
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2
Ocean Murphy Fox #2 2/1
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3
Isdistheone Fox #3 10/3
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4
It's Bobsled Time 12/1
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5
Marian Avenue 11/4
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6
Camino Rock 28/1
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Morell River Fox #1 -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Morell River 4/1
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2
Ocean Murphy 3/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Isdistheone 4/1 🥉 3RD