← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Wexford Racecourse Park Run Beginners Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Nadia's Boy
HIGH Advised 8/11 Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Nadia's Boy (SR 164, 8/11) is in a different class to every rival in this field — a 16-point SR gap over second-rated Kelya (SR 148) is substantial at any level, and 55 points clear of the third-rated Scalpnagoon (SR 109). Trained by W P Mullins (21% career strike rate from 1,262 runners) and ridden by Paul Townend (30% career strike rate from 358 rides), the connections alone represent the gold standard of Irish jumping. The form line of /110-3 shows two recent wins before a seasonal return third, entirely consistent with a horse being brought to peak for this beginners' chase; a GoingFit:? simply means no confirmed chase data on good yet, not a negative. At 8/11 the market has correctly identified the standout, and there is no credible rival with the SR or connections to threaten. Each-way alternative: Kelya. Main danger: Kelya — Kelya (SR 148, 12/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-5 (7lb less than the 11-12 cluster), has a form line showing a recent win (1 in 52137/) and is trained by Emmet Mullins (11% strike rate) — if Nadia's Boy has any jumping mishap, Kelya is the only horse with the SR and physical advantage to capitalise.
Full result
Winner: West Away (IRE) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
West Away 7/1
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2
Jackson Lamb 28/1
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3
Scalpnagoon Fox #3 7/1
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4
William Tell 9/2
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5
Kelya Fox #2 12/1
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6
Nadia's Boy Fox #1 8/11
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—
Begger -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Nadia's Boy 8/11 6TH
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2
Kelya 12/1 5TH
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3
Scalpnagoon 8/1 🥉 3RD