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Happy 100th Birthday Chepstow Racecourse 'Training Series' Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Apprentice Training Race - Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)
Mr Fox’s call
Be An Angel
MEDIUM Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Be An Angel (SR 66) holds the highest Saturday Rating in this field by a clear margin — 5 points above the next best Macanudo — and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) which materially helps her chances in a weak Class 6 sprint. Her form string (-75126) shows a placed effort last time and she has a course visit to her name (W0P1 at Chepstow). Carrying 9-9, she is top-weight but the SR advantage more than compensates in this company. Jake Dickson's 14% career strike rate is solid for an apprentice and the stable's 13% record is respectable. The market drift of 9% is worth noting, but with the field's collective SR in the 49-66 band and no horse boasting convincing going/distance credentials, Be An Angel's class drop and SR lead are sufficient to commit. Each-way alternative: Macanudo. Main danger: Some Nightmare — Some Nightmare carries a MarkMv:-6 drop and has an outstanding course record (W2P5 at Chepstow) with a proven DistFit:+ at today's 6f trip — the specialist track knowledge and mark reduction give John O'Shea's second string a real each-way chance despite the GoingFit:- concern.
Full result
Winner: Arnaz (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Arnaz 9/1
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2
Marisitta 6/1
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3
Some Nightmare Fox #3 17/2
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4
Sundiata Keita Fox #4 9/2
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5
Macarone 6/1
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6
Be An Angel Fox #1 10/3
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7
Macanudo Fox #2 11/2
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—
Outer Edge 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Be An Angel 4/1 6TH
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2
Macanudo 4/1 7TH
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3
Some Nightmare 7/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Sundiata Keita 9/2 🏁 4TH