← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dragonbet Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Desert Charm
MEDIUM Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Desert Charm (SR 65, 7/2) is the clear ability leader in this Class 6 field — a full 10 SR points clear of the next-best — and carries just 9-11, a favourable weight relative to that SR advantage. The form string 6-3112 shows a horse that has rapidly improved across this season, winning twice in recent starts, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles today's mile on good-to-firm ground. Course:W1P1 at Chepstow adds further confidence, and Callum Shepherd's 14% strike rate from 346 runners is solid. The MarkMv:+5 is the one caution — running off a mark 5lb higher than at his last win — but in a Class 6 field this weak, the SR dominance overrides that concern. Each-way alternative: Ajrad. Main danger: Ajrad — Ajrad (SR 54, 11/2) carries Course:W2P5 at Chepstow, DistFit:+, GoingFit:+, and crucially MarkMv:-7 — running off a mark 7lb lower than his last win — which is a meaningful handicapper's edge in a weak Class 6 contest, even if the market has drifted slightly.
Full result
Winner: Redhot Whisper (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Redhot Whisper 13/2
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2
The Bureau Club 16/1
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3
Too Much Trevor 10/1
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4
A Rose Adaay 14/1
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5
Ajrad Fox #2 5/1
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6
Scarfo 9/1
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7
Galactic Glow Fox #4 9/1
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8
Desert Charm Fox #1 11/4
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9
Weston Court 22/1
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10
Devious Devan Fox #3 6/1
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11
Fozzy Osbourne 14/1
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12
Beau Chevalier 100/1
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Knightmare -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Desert Charm 7/2 8TH
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2
Ajrad 11/2 5TH
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3
Devious Devan 11/2 10TH
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4
Galactic Glow 15/2 7TH