← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Capital Windscreens Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Symphony's Song
MEDIUM Advised 4/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Symphony's Song (SR 66, 4/1, 9-0) is the pick on the back of a 24% market steam — the most significant inward move in the field — combined with a light weight of 9-0 and a favourable ClassMv:= (running at the same level where it last ran, no class jump required). The 4-6453 form string shows recent improvement in the rightmost positions and the trainer Ian Williams strikes at 13% career strike rate with Ryan Kavanagh (11%, 176 rides) providing a competent booking. At 4/1 the market is saying something meaningful while the horse carries no additional class or mark burden that would typically undermine a well-backed runner at this level. Each-way alternative: Stipulation. Main danger: Crimson Road — Crimson Road (SR 74, 11/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has course form (W1P1 at Chepstow), and while it has drifted 9% and steps up in class (ClassMv:↑1) off a MarkMv:+3 penalty, its raw SR advantage over Symphony's Song is four points and its course-and-distance profile gives it a realistic ceiling.
Full result
Winner: Crimson Road (IRE) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Crimson Road Fox #2 6/5
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2
Stipulation Fox #3 17/2
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3
Symphony's Song Fox #1 4/1
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4
Pride Of Nepal 9/1
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5
Annexation 11/2
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6
Dancingondiamonds 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Symphony's Song 4/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Crimson Road 11/8 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
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3
Stipulation 15/2 🥈 2ND