← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Catalogue Engineering Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Love Rome
MEDIUM Advised 2/1 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Love Rome (SR 75, 2/1) carries 9-9 but drops two class tiers, which in a Class 5 nursery over 7f represents a significant competitive edge. The market has backed this horse in 20% since opening — meaningful support in a six-runner field — and Cieren Fallon (20% strike rate, 793 career runs) is the standout jockey booking. The form of 3-2 is progressive and consistent for a two-year-old on this surface. Although both DistFit and GoingFit are unproven, the class drop is the dominant signal here and Charlie Johnston (13%, 1277 runners) is a yard that places horses accurately. Each-way alternative: Greek Symphony. Main danger: Greek Symphony — Greek Symphony (SR 85, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has a confirmed DistFit:+ at 7f with a last-time-out win, meaning it has the strongest form credentials despite the 29% market drift, which may reflect the MarkMv:+2 penalty rather than any loss of form.
Full result
Winner: Katie's Cavalier (IRE) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Katie's Cavalier 17/2
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2
Love Rome Fox #1 9/4
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3
Greek Symphony Fox #2 10/3
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4
Jazzy Bay 8/1
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5
Bayside Fox #3 11/4
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6
Better Nature 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Love Rome 2/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Greek Symphony 11/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Bayside 7/2 5TH