← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
TLC Teddies For Loving Care Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Al Maslool
MEDIUM Advised 7/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Al Maslool (SR 84, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 11 points above the next-best Mountbatten and Barak Warrior at SR 73, and 14 above Robusto. The market has shortened 10% since opening — meaningful confidence from those with information — and Haggas/Fallon is a formidable combination running at a 21%/20% strike rate respectively. The form string 750231 shows a progressive horse culminating in a last-time-out win, and while DistFit and GoingFit are unknown quantities (limited sample at this trip and going), the superior SR and class profile outweigh those uncertainties in a weak Class 5 field of six. Running off a mark only 2lb above the last win is manageable for a horse of this profile. Each-way alternative: Barak Warrior. Main danger: Barak Warrior — Barak Warrior (SR 73, 9/4) has shortened 6% in the market, drops two class levels which is a significant advantage, and Silvestre De Sousa at 13% career strike rate is a high-quality booking for a small yard — the class drop combined with a professional jockey upgrade makes this the most credible threat to Al Maslool.
Full result
Winner: Robusto (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Robusto 10/1
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2
Mountbatten Fox #3 7/2
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3
Barak Warrior Fox #2 7/4
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4
Al Maslool Fox #1 2/1
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5
Ottoman 22/1
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6
Sahm Naif 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Al Maslool 7/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Barak Warrior 9/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Mountbatten 7/2 🥈 2ND