← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Randox Rated Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Cosmos d'Ainay
MEDIUM Advised 10/11 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Cosmos d'Ainay (SR 130, 10/11) is the clear class-leader in this six-runner field, carrying 2lb less than stablemate Chanceawetmorning despite a superior SR of 130 vs 122. The form string /193-1 shows a last-time-out win 30 days ago, and GoingFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness on today's good ground — a meaningful advantage in a field where several rivals have untested distance/going profiles. Jack Kennedy (20% career strike rate, 610 runners) is the clear #1 jockey booking from the Elliott yard over Josh Williamson (11%), which is the definitive signal that Elliott is running this horse to win rather than Chanceawetmorning. The 8% market drift from the morning line is a mild concern, but the price remains tight at 10/11 and the weight edge combined with Kennedy's booking overrides that reservation. Each-way alternative: Malbay Madness. Main danger: Malbay Madness — Malbay Madness (SR 124, 4/1) has both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed — the only rival who ticks both boxes — and recent form 73-118 shows back-to-back wins before the last run, making it the one horse with proven course-distance credentials to take on the favourite.
Full result
Winner: Malbay Madness (IRE) at SP 2/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Malbay Madness Fox #2 2/1
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2
Shinnhill 10/1
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3
Chanceawetmorning Fox #3 6/4
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4
Trasna Na Pairce 3/1
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5
Tribal Moon 25/1
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Cosmos d'Ainay Fox #1 -
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Cap Bernat -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Cosmos d'Ainay 10/11
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2
Malbay Madness 4/1 SP 2/1 🏆 WON
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3
Chanceawetmorning 4/1 🥉 3RD